Early February 2021 Winter Storm and Cold Air Outbreak

A picture of a very snow-covered forest up here in the U.P.!

Summary

An area of low pressure developed along an Arctic cold front advancing eastward trough the Upper Midwest, leading to moderate snow over much of Upper Michigan. The snow was initially wet and slushy. However, behind the Arctic front, temperatures plummeted leading to drier snow.

Below-normal temperatures then continued for the next 10 days. The cold air behind the front also caused lake effect snow over parts of the area. The Keweenaw Peninsula was hit hard by several days in a row of lake effect snow leading to snow depths of 40-50 inches by the middle of February.


Meteorology

Loop of 300, 500, 700, and 850 mb showing the NE-SW oriented cold front advancing eastward and a mid-level short wave riding along it, strengthening with time.

One parameter meteorologists look at for the placement of heavy precipitation is frontogenesis - literally the genesis, or creation, of a cold or warm front.

The initial band of frontogenesis was maximized at around 600 mb on Thursday. However, the initial fgen band in the mid levels weakens Thursday afternoon. This weakening is followed by a sharp increase in fgen at 900 mb Thursday evening (after 00z Friday) over central Upper Michigan.

This secondary fgen band was very shallow - it barely shows up at 800 mb and not until much later. It was responsible for a period of 1"/hour snow over much of central Upper Michigan from Iron Mountain to Escanaba to Manistique.

A loop of the radar with the mean sea level pressure overlaid shows the surface pressure trough associated with the cold front, and the development of a new low pressure center along the front over northern Lake Michigan Thursday evening (after 00z Friday).


Snowfall Reports Feb 4-5

Click the points on the map below to see how much snow fell at each location, or scroll below the map to see a full text listing of snowfall totals from this storm.

Early Feb. 2021 Snowfall Local Storm Reports - NWS Marquette, MI

The first page of a snowfall Public Information Statement for the event. The reports are as follows: Alger County...Munising, 11.0 inches. Au Train, 10.0 inches. Rumely, 10.0 inches. Munising CO-OP, 9.0 inches. Chatham, 8.0 inches. Baraga County: Skanee, 18.0 inches, 2 miles southeast of Herman, 15.0 inches. 2 miles north of Pelkie, 12.5 inches. Three Lakes, 12. 5 inches. 2 miles west-southwest of Watton, 9.2 inches. 2 miles south of Baraga, 9.2 inches. 3 miles west-northwest of Michigamme, 8.5 inches. Delta County: Escanaba, 9.6 inches, 0.8 northwest of Garden Corners, 9.0 inches. 1.7 miles east of Rapid River, 9.0 inches. Rapid River, 8.0 inches. Gladstone, 7.9 inches. Stonington, 7.0 inches. 2.1 miles southwest of Gladstone, 6.7 inches. Dickinson County: 2 miles northwest of Iron Mountain, 9.8 inches. 0.7 miles southeast of Norway, 8.0 inches. 5 miles north of Iron Mountain, 6.2 inches. Gogebic County: Ironwood Township, 10.0 inches. 12 miles west-southwest of Watersmeet, 10.0 inches. Ironwood Waste-Water Treatment Plant, 8.0 inches. 1 mile west of Ironwood, 8.0 inches. Ironwood, 4.8 inches. Houghton County: Toivola, 19.0 inches. Twin Lakes, 17.4 inches. Painesdale, 15.8 inches. Quincy Hill, 13.0 inches. Jacobsville, 12.6 inches. Lake Linden, 12.0 inches. 1 mile northeast of Twin Lakes, 12.0 inches. Chassell, 11.0 inches. Atlantic Mine, 10.3 inches. Kearsarge, 10.0 inches. Iron County: Iron River, 10.0 inches. 2 miles south-southeast of Stambaugh, 8.5 inches.
The second page of the Public Information Statement from the event. It reads as follows: "Keweenaw County: Mohawk, 14.0 inches. 5.2 miles southwest of Delaware, 8.0 inches. Luce County: 5 miles southwest of Newberry, 8.0 inches. Newberry, 4.8 inches. Marquette County: Carlshend, 8.1 inches. 2 miles north of Arnold, 8.0 inches. 1 mile south-southeast of Sands, 7.5 inches. 5.7 miles east of Champion, 7.0 inches. NWS Marquette-4 miles northeast of Negaunee, 6.9 inches. 1 mile north-northeast of Negaunee, 6.9 inches. 7.2 miles southwest of Ishpeming, 6.9 inches. 3 miles north-northwest of Sands, 6.5 inches. 9 miles southwest of Big Bay, 6.5 inches. Ishpeming, 6.0 inches. K.I. Sawyer, 6.0 inches. Gwinn, 5. 2 inches. 3 miles northwest of Ishpeming, 5.0 inches. Green Garden, 4.4 inches. 2 miles southwest of Harvey, 4.3 inches. 1 mile west-southwest of Harvey, 4.0 inches. Harvey, 4.0 inches. 1 mile west-northwest of Marquette, 4.0 inches. 1 mile south of Marquette, 3.5 inches. Marquette Township, 3.3 inches. Marquette, 3.2 inches. Menominee County: 2 miles east of Daggett, 9.0 inches. 4.1 miles northwest of Menominee, 6.0 inches. Ontonagon County: 6 miles north of Greenland, 12.0 inches. Paulding, 8.3 inches. Schoolcraft County: 2.7 miles northwest of Manistique, 10.4 inches. Manistique, 10.0 inches. 2.3 miles east of Manistique, 8.6 inches. 0.9 miles east of Steuben, 8.1 inches.

Coldest Temperatures Feb 6-15

Click the points on the map below to see the coldest wind chills at each location, and use the left and right arrows to scroll through multiple days. Note that the time displayed is Zulu time. 12:00 in Zulu time is 7:00 am EST, or 6:00 am CST.

Early Feb. 2021 Temp LSRs


Photos & Videos

Perronville

Photo by Chad Leiter

A picture of a snow-covered track from Perronville.

Atlantic Mine

Photo by Lisa Milani

Top and bottom photo showcasing Lisa Milani's deck in Atlantic Mine, with the bottom showing noticeably more snowfall.

Munising

Photo by Sue

The photo show's Sue's front walkway and attached garage with her Yooper-scooper to the side. The unscooped snow covers the rest of her driveway.

Hancock

Photo by Isaac Diener on February 15th showing more than a week's worth of accumulation from persistent lake effect snow.


Social Media

(Click arrow at right for more)

First mention of a winter storm with the Tuesday morning weather story

The first mention of a winter storm in W.F.O. Marquette's social media graphics. The Tuesday morning weather story reads as follows: "Today, light LES north wind belts, West AM. Highs 27 to 34°." A picture of the sun mostly hidden behind clouds is off to the side. "Tonight, lows 2 to 17°, coldest interior west." A picture of the moon mostly cloud-covered is to the side. "Wednesday, highs 30 to 38°." The sun mostly cloud-hidden to the side. "Wednesday night, lows 18 to 26°. Thursday, highs 30 to 36°." Snow showers are off to the side. "Thursday night, lows 7 to 23°, coldest west. Friday, blustery. Highs 13 to 28°, coldest west." A picture of a snow shower to the side. A picture of a snow-covered U.P. forest under mostly cloudy skies dominates the top right of the graphic.

Wednesday morning weather story showing a Winter Storm Watch had been issued for wet, dense snow expected

The Wednesday morning weather story showing that a Winter Storm Watch had been issued for the wet, dense snow expected. It reads as follows: "Sun and Clouds Today, Snow for Thursday-Friday. Today, mostly cloudy skies with highs 29 to 38°. Thursday, Winter Storm Watch. Wintry mix early becoming all snow. Snow will spread from west to east during the day; the snow could become heavy at times! Hazards Thursday: Accumulating Snow, Wet/Dense Snow, and Hazardous Travel. Plan for extra time and difficult road conditions if you are traveling Thursday evening!" On the bottom right is a snowfall probability map of 6 inches or more across Upper Michigan.

Wednesday evening weather story

The Wednesday evening weather story is as follows: Widespread Heavy Snow Thursday into Friday A.M.. Snow: Wet snow spreads from west to east through the day. A wintry mix is possible at the onset of precipitation. (5-9 inchers) lesser amounts near the immediate Lake Superior shoreline. Locally 8-12 inches possible for the Keweenaw. Blowing snow: develops Thursday night. Temperatures: falling from west to east; Thursday afternoon through the evening. Transition to lake effect snow Thursday night through the weekend: favored west-northwest wind snow belts (Keweenaw and east of Marquette). Blowing snow Thursday night. Snow in west-northwest wind snow belts. Poor visibility in small snowflakes. Hazardous travel. Whiteout conditions are possible in lake effect snow this weekend!

Thursday morning update highlighting many different hazards

Thursday evening update as the storm was ongoing

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This storymap was created by the bright minds at the Weather Forecast Office in Negaunee Township, Michigan.