CRAFT Climate & Business Narrative

Green Grams in Kenya

What is a climate & business narrative?

The  Climate Resilient Agribusiness for Tomorrow (CRAFT)  project supports private companies and service providers in climate smart business case development, benefiting targeted smallholder farmers and other value chain actors.

A climate & business narrative:

  • Describes how climate change is likely to affect crop production, the marketing trends and the dynamics of the entire value chain, as well as the climate related risks actors are perceiving and experiencing.
  • Tells the story of how a company or service provider aims to respond to these plausible climate-related risks through a business case.
  • Explains how the business case is not only driven by climate change but also by future markets, economic and agro-ecological potentials and barriers.

Green grams in Kenya

Green grams (Vigna radiata L.), also known as mung bean, maash, moong or ndengu, is a potential food and cash crop in Kenya and grows well in arid regions, playing a key role in local food security. The total hectares for green gram is 362,938 ha against the production of 206,619 tons (translating to 570 kg/ha or 6 bags of 90 kg/ha (Source: Kenya National Crop data, 2018). Green grams are best grown at an altitude of 0-1600 m above sea level well adapted to sandy loam and clay soils at pH range of 5.5 - 7.5. They are drought tolerant with rainfall requirement ranging between 350 - 700 mm per annum. Within this ecological zone there are limited options for cultivating crops. Among the drought tolerant crops, green grams is the most universally grown crop due to its dual purpose serving both as a cash crop as well as food crop. As a result, many farmers are keen on growing green grams.

The image on the right shows green grams plant (Source: Encyclopaedia Britannica 2021).

In addition to its high economic value and drought tolerance, green grams also have a high nutritional value and has nitrogen fixing abilities, which support soil regeneration. Green grams are commercially interesting because of an unmet market demand, the limited presence of emerging competitors, and its potential to create new employment opportunities for the youth.


Green gram growing areas

High potential growing counties include: Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Tharaka Nithi, Embu, Meru, Tana River, Lamu, Kilifi, Kwale and Taita Taveta. For example, according to 2018 Kenya National Crop data, Makueni’s total area under green grams was 52,633 ha against production of 52,633 tons translating to 580 kg/ha (approximately 6 bags of 90 kg/ha). Low potential growing areas include: Mandera, Marsabit, Wajir, Isiolo and Garissa.

The map on the right shows the green gram growing counties in Kenya. For legend, click button in the bottom-left corner of map.


Green gram value-chain actors

The table below shows activities of different actors in the value chain.

Input suppliers: The main input suppliers include Kenya Seed Company, KALRO Katumani and Dryland Seed Ltd for green gram variety development and multiplication, ETG, Toyota Tshusho, and Yara fertilisers for fertilizers; Osho, greenlife and Syngenta for agrochemicals and soils amendments. Local suppliers include agro vets stocking products from different companies. There is a lot of seed recycling from retained seeds from other farmers and local retailers (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ).

The image on the right shows the green gram value chain map for Tharaka Nithi country (Source: SNV, 2019)

Producers: The production is controlled by small scale farmers who constitute the majority of the upstream chain players with at least 51% being women. Farmers are mainly growing local varieties that are characterised by low yields and long maturity periods (3-4 months). Kenya is facing a large yield gap, current producing 0.45 tons /ha against a potential of 3 tons/ha (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ).

The image on the right shows women and youth farmers working on a green gram farm in Kenya (Source: SNV, 2019).

Aggregators: Most of green gram is aggregated to be sold to export market, or at wholesale level to processors or retailers. Aggregators vary from producer organizations with target market, local vendors who buy from farmers and transport to main markets to wholesalers or sole proprietors who have the capacity to bulk huge volumes.

The image on the right shows aggregators drying and threshing harvested green grams (Source: SNV, 2019).

Off takers: Include traders, wholesalers and retailers.

  • Local traders are often farmers at the village level. They establish small enterprises in the form of cereal shops or “stores” based where they buy from local producers to either sell back to the local market or sell at the national or export market through intermediaries, for example, producer organisations.
  • 80% of the wholesalers are sole proprietorships. They serve as a pivotal point that supplies retailers, institutional consumers and exporters. Their storage capacity is 59% due to low supplies, seasonality and limited capital (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ).
  • Retailers are largely informal with less than 50% registered. Most retailers handle small volumes only (100-200 kg/season) to principally sell to individual consumers. They procure just enough to avoid the need for investing in storage facilities (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ).

The image on the right shows green gram trading at a local market in Kenya (Source: SNV, 2019).

Processors: Generally, the product specification is limited due to the limited level of processing. The main value addition in Kenya is cleaning, polishing and packaging as whole grain, dehulling and splitting the grain to make dhal.

Exporters: Most of them are registered as Limited companies. They receive their supply mainly through suppliers (large farmers) or intermediaries. Exporters currently operate below capacity (60%) due to low supplies and limited working capital (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ).

Consumers: Individual consumers are the largest segment and they are mainly served by retailers. Other consumers include vendors, hotels and restaurants. The most commonly demanded form of green grams is the whole grain. There is also a huge target market, consumers, in learning institutions (schools) that buy large volumes of green grams. Green grams is a predominant food for the majority of the population in urban and peri-urban slum / low income areas.

The image on the right shows local dishes in Kenya made from green grams.


Domestic markets

National production in the last five years has ranged from 61,000 tons to 121,000 tons. Over the same period, national consumption has grown from 58,000 tons to 127,000 tons. This implies a deficit in some years that is bridged through imports. The bulk of the produce is sold in local markets and the remainder is exported to neighboring countries and South Asia. The increase in demand is mainly driven by population increase and healthy cautious citizen, who are cutting down on meat products (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ). With the exception of big companies (such as Capwell Industries and Spiceworld), who process and also export to India, the domestic marketing structures are very informal, characterized by wholesalers , retailers and middlemen The major trading/marketing towns in Kenya are : Nairobi/ Nyamakima, Mombasa, Makueni, Kitui, Tharaka Nithi, Machakos, Eldoret, Nakuru and Kisumu.

The map on the right shows green gram trading /marketing centers. Click points to identify centers.

There is competition between the production hubs within Kenya. For example, Tharaka Nithi is more price competitive in supply of green grams than Makueni. However, Makueni exports relatively more to India compared to Tharaka Nithi. The potential for product diversification in the green grams value chain is limited despite emerging potential for quality products like splits grains, baby food products, green gram flour which can be blended with other products.


Regional trade and consumption

From a regional perspective, Tanzania and Uganda produce surpluses while Kenya is a deficit country. Despite having the highest production in the region, Kenya takes up about 80% of the green grams exported by Uganda and Tanzania (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017) . Out of 859 tons of green grams imported into East Africa 80% ended up in Kenya (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017) . Green grams are also procured from Ethiopia by processing companies and exporters when the production in Kenya is too low to meet the demand of both the domestic and Asian market. Although the Kenyan consumer population is rapidly growing, it is the growing demand for green grams in the export market that is driving the production.

The map on the right shows regional trade flows of green grams in East Africa.

The averages prices in Kenyan markets are also higher than in Tanzania and Uganda. In Kenya, especially in Nairobi, prices can go as high as USD 116 per ton (Source:  Kilimo Trust, 2017 ). Using international benchmarks, however, it is cheaper to produce a ton of green grams in Australia or India than in Kenya.


Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats in the value chain

Discussions with actors of the green grams value chain showed that they perceive a large set of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. 

Green gram farmers decry lack of market for their produce (Source: NTV Kenya, 2018)

The table on the right shows strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats as perceived by the value chain actors (Source: Muriu, 2019).


Business opportunities and risks under climate change

Actors in Kenya’s green gram value chain increasingly experience climate-related risks to their business. The CRAFT project helps these actors to understand and manage the impacts of climate change on the value chain. In particular, CRAFT supports IMCOS, a Multipurpose Cooperative Society, in becoming a climate smart agribusiness.

The image on the right shows IMCOS' office buildings (Source: SNV, 2019).

Igambang’ombe Multipurpose Cooperative Society: Igambang’ombe Multipurpose Cooperative Society (IMCOS) is a member-based organization whose primary objective is to provide quality and affordable services to its members involved in cereal and pulse farming. IMCOS has a total membership of 733 (i.e., 349 male and 384 female) drawn mostly from Igambang'ombe sub-county of Tharaka Nithi county, Kenya. 

IMCOS has a central position in the green gram value chain. It provides farmers with the following:

  • Grain bulking and marketing services: IMCOS buys and stores green grams from its members, aggregates and sells the same to third parties at a small mark-up.
  • Financial Services: IMCOS plays the role of a financial intermediary to members by providing savings and lending facilities.
  • Inputs: IMCOS buys agro-inputs in bulk from suppliers at wholesale prices and sells them to its members.
  • Currently, all services are delivered at very small scale. 

Challenges faced by IMCOS: Green gram bulking and marketing have proven to be a very viable business for IMCOS. It is capable of transforming IMCOS' business from loss making into profitability. IMCOS, however, is facing a number of challenges including:

  • Poor storage facilities: farmers usually store their produce poorly and in under designed infrastructure leading to attack by storage pests and loss of produce as a result of extreme weather events such as floods hence lowering the quality of the produce·      
  • A limited supply base: high numbers of small holder farmers who have not maximized their productivity. The low productivity is pegged with effects of climate change and variability such as poor rainfall patterns and distribution that has affected yields. 
  • Lack of climate smart agricultural extension services: coupled with poor dissemination of weather information services·      
  • Limited market linkages: due to inadequate and poor quality deliveries by the producers in the past, the cooperative has not been taking a proactive role in sourcing for the market.      
  • Inadequate management capacity.

The image on the right shows IMCOS' members discussing ways to tackle some of these challenges (Source: SNV, 2019).

IMCOS aims to tackle these challenges and expand their business, making use of the opportunities climate change may offer but not turning a blind eye to its potential risks. Therefore, IMCOS is interested in providing Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) services to its members to increase green gram production under current and future climate conditions.

But, what are these current climate conditions and how is the climate in Kenya likely to change in future?


Climate change

The rains were unpredictable last year. They came in torrents, destroying my ndengu crop. We also battled strange pests and diseases. By Leah Muema, a farmer in Mosa, Kitui County at the CRAFT climate risk assessment workshop, 24-25 April, 2019.(Source: Daily Nation, 11 May, 2019)

Future climate change - seasonal rainfall: In the future, average rainfall during the March-April-May season is projected to decrease by about 10% in the western regions of the green gram growing areas under all climate change scenarios. However, in the south-eastern areas such as Kitui and Makueni, the rainfall is projected to increase by about 10-20%.

During the October-November-December season, rainfall is expected to increase in all the green gram growing areas and under all climate change scenarios. In the south-eastern green gram growing areas, rainfall is expected to increase by about 20-30%. In the western green gram growing areas, rainfall is expected to increase by about 5-10%.

Seasonal rainfall (mm) during the March-April-May season under current climatic conditions (left map) and future climate with very little mitigation intervention in the 2050s (right map). Swipe left or right to see the changes.

Future climate change - length of growing spell (March-April-May): The length of the growing spell during the March-April-May (MAM) season in the south-eastern green gram growing areas is expected to increase by about 10 days whereas in the western growing areas, it is expected to decrease slightly. In the south-eastern growing areas, the increase of the length of growing spell is a result of early onset of rainfall together with a late cessation. Whereas in the western growing areas, an early cessation of rainfall will result in a decrease in length of growing spell.

Length of growing spell (LGS) (days) during the March-April-May season under current climatic conditions (left map) and future climate with very little mitigation intervention in the 2050s (right map). Swipe left or right to see the changes.

Future climate change - temperature: During both rainy seasons, average temperature in the green gram growing areas is expected to increase by 1.4°C to 1.8°C in the near future (i.e. 2030s). However, by the middle of the century (i.e. 2050s), average temperature is likely to increase by greater magnitude especially without appropriate climate change mitigation interventions. Under this scenario, average temperature in the green gram growing areas are likely to increase by between 2.0°C to 2.8°C depending on the rainy season. Temperatures are likely to increase by a greater magnitude in the October-November-December season compared to the March-April-May season.

Average temperature (°C) during the March-April-May season under current climatic conditions (left map) and future climate with very little mitigation intervention in the 2050s (right map). Swipe left or right to see the changes.

Impacts of climate change on green gram yields (March-April-May): Crop yield modelling shows that during the March- April-May (MAM) season, green gram yields are expected to increase in the high potential growing areas such as Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Tharaka-Nithi, Meru and Embu. Currently, on-farm yields are about 600 kg/ha. These low yields are a product of the production systems characterized by low or no productive inputs (such as proper fertilizer application) and poor agronomic practices (such as soil testing, pest control, land preparation). In the future, the analysis shows that under conditions of optimal agronomic management (such as soil testing, proper fertilizer application, pest control, land preparation), farmers are likely to at least double this yield.

Without these agronomic practices, on-farm actual yields are still expected to increase in future compared to current climatic conditions, but the quantum of increase is likely to be considerably lower. The gap between optimal and actual yield provide a measure of existing opportunities to increase yields now and in the future. These opportunities, however, are influenced by climate change. In the high potential growing areas, climate change will not affect these opportunities. However, in large areas of low and medium potential growing areas, yields are likely to decrease. These areas include Tana River, Garissa and Kilifi.

Green gram yields under current climatic conditions (left map) and future climate with very little mitigation intervention in the 2050s (right map). Swipe left or right to see the changes.

Impacts of climate change on green gram yields (October-November-December): During the October-November-December (OND) season, green grams yields are also likely to increase in high potential growing areas especially in Kitui and Makueni. In these areas, future yields can range from 800 to 3000 kg /ha representing increases of between 50 % and 400 %. It should be noted that these quantum of increases are possible with better agronomic conditions (such as soil testing, proper fertilizer applications, pest control, land preparation). Without these agronomic conditions yields are still expected to increase compared to current climatic conditions, however, the quantum of increase are likely to be significantly lower.

Unlike the March-April-May season, green gram yields are also likely to increase in large parts of low and medium potential growing areas during the October-November-December season. In these areas, there are huge potentials to substantially increase yield with better agronomic practices under current and future climatic conditions.

Green gram yields under current climatic conditions (left map) and future climate with very little mitigation intervention in the 2050s (right map). Swipe left or right to see the changes.


Perceptions and experiences of value-chain actors on climate change

Climate change impact on value chain actors: At a climate risk assessment workshop on green grams for the Lower Eastern Region (24-25 April, 2019), value chain actors mentioned they already experience the impacts of climate change and variability.

Value-chain actors discussing their perceptions and experiences of climate change on their activities during workshop (Source: SNV, 2019)

The table on the right shows outcomes of discussions on climate change impacts during the workshop.

Adaptation options: In the same climate risk assessment workshop, value chain actors deliberately discussed adaptation measures that would help to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change or address opportunities that may arise from it.

The table below shows the outcomes of discussions on adaptation options during the workshop.


IMCOS' Climate smart business case

IMCOS sees climate change not only as a risk factor but also as an opportunity to growth. The society is interested in providing Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) services to its members to increase both green gram production and sales under current and future climate conditions.

Specifically, IMCOS aims to support farmers to increase productivity and ultimately increase the grain offtake from the current procurement level of 66 tons (in 2018) to 532 tons in two years. IMCOS also targets to raise the number of member suppliers from 300 to 700 in order to achieve an output of 532 tons. These targets will also benefit other enterprises along the value chain.

IMCOS invests in the following strategy to achieve the above targets:

  • Securing additional and reliable supply contract with major processors for grains.
  • Training farmers in climate smart agriculture.
  • Enabling farmers’ access to certified seeds and land preparation services.
  • Supporting farmers in proper post-harvest handling practices including proper threshing, winnowing, drying, sorting and grading to meet the quality standards required by the market.

The image on the right shows IMCOS' aggregation center 

CRAFT supporting IMCOS to do climate smart business in green grams: CRAFT project co-invests in IMCOS climate smart and viable business plan helping the society to become a one-stop-shop for farmers. The business plan includes the following activities:

  • Conduct training of trainers in the farmers field school methodology
  • Train farmers in climate smart practices and technologies
  • Provide advisory services in climate smart agriculture
  • Provide weather services
  • Provide threshing services
  • Provide improved storage and packing services
  • Provide access to high yielding and drought tolerant seeds and other inputs
  • Expand marketing activities - formalized and diversified marketing of green grams
  • Purchase of machines & equipment
  • Mobilize new members

    Expected impact of IMCOS' climate smart business

    Enhanced resilience through increasing production and smallholder farmers' income: Training extension and other advisory services in climate smart agriculture will contribute to an increase in green gram yield. Their expertise in climate services delivery such as providing reliable weather information in combination with recommendations for farm management practices is likely to help smallholder farmers to mitigate climate- related risks and to reduce productions costs (e.g. seeds, fertilizers). Advice on and accessibility to improved and climate resilient seed varieties will also help producers to increase yield. Supporting farmers in proper post-harvest handling practices including proper threshing, winnowing, drying, sorting and grading to meet the quality standards required by the market is likely to reduce losses and increase their income.

    The image on the right shows IMCOS' members in a meeting 

    Mitigation of climate change impacts in the value chain: Even though climate change is unlikely to adversely affect green grams production in Tharaka Nithi County, it may negatively affect other activities in the value chain such as storage and transportation. Ensuring minimal storage while in store or during transportation will make warehouse/storage and transportation facilities more climate proof and will mitigate adverse effects of climate related risk such as erratic rainfall, humidity and floods. Energy efficient ventilators, adjustment in design standards for solar generators and awareness raising for efficient energy use could reduce operational costs and contribute to a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. And, a guaranteed and good quality supply of green grams will benefit the entire value chain and increase its resilience.


    The Climate Resilient Agribusiness for Tomorrow (CRAFT) project is a multi–country (Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda) five-year effort implemented by SNV in partnership with Wageningen University and Research (WUR), CGIAR’s Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), Agriterra, and Rabo Partnerships. The project is funded by the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and covers the period June 2018 – May 2023.

     

     

    Value-chain actors discussing their perceptions and experiences of climate change on their activities during workshop (Source: SNV, 2019)