HEAT RISK

Resilient Cambridge

Warmer Planet

The last five years have been the warmest on record globally.

By the 2030s, average summer heat index in the City can be around 95°F, and by the 2070s, average summer heat index can be as high as 110°F. 

Both the annual average temperature and extreme temperatures have been increasing over the last several decades. By the 2070s, the average summer temperature is projected to increase by 6 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit, and there could be more than 60 days per year with maximum temperatures over 90 degrees. As heat waves become longer and hotter, heat will persist into the evening, with buildings retaining heat overnight and occupants suffering more from extreme heat exposure.

What is the Risk?

Senior citizens are among the group most at risk of extreme heat. Courtesy photo

Extreme heat affects our health and our ability to function. Heat stress causes more deaths in the United States than any other climate-related event, including storms and hurricanes.

Heat stress occurs when environmental conditions overwhelm the body’s cooling mechanisms, and a healthy energy balance cannot be maintained.

Heat index is an index that combines air temperature and relative humidity to determine the “feels like” temperature that people experience. A sustained increase of internal body temperatures reaching 104 degrees can lead to heat stroke and death as identified in orange below in the NOAA heat index table.

Members of our community most at risk are elderly, very young, homeless, outdoor workers, people on certain medications, and people with medical conditions such as asthma or cardiovascular disease. 

Our neighborhoods have a relatively high proportion of older housing stock that may be poorly adapted to hot weather and lack air conditioning, making people at risk more vulnerable.

Rising temperatures will increase the need for cooling systems. By 2030, building cooling loads could double, and by 2070, cooling loads could be twice that of heating loads.

Shown is the cooling impact on a 90-degree day relative to streetscape. As the tree canopy increases, the “feels like” temperature decreases.

What is the Impact?

Urban Heat Island Citywide

Cities are usually warmer than suburban and rural areas. This is a phenomenon known as the urban heat island (UHI). This effect makes hot days worse in cities and adds to the effect of climate change.

The way a city is typically built increases the heat risk for its occupants. Roads, parking lots, and dark building surfaces contribute to urban heat by drawing and storing the heat, and then release the heat to increase local temperatures. Parks, green open spaces, tree canopy, and light-colored surfaces reflect heat and reduce UHI.

Urban patterns create UHI in Cambridge, particularly in the Alewife Quadrangle, Harvard Square, and Central Square. The UHI island map shows the “feels like” temperature based on a 90-degree day with 46% humidity.

Caption: The Urban Heat Island shows the “feels like” temperature based on a 90-degree day with 46% humidity. In the circled areas, the “feels like” temperature is over 10 degrees hotter than the actual temperature.

Citywide to neighborhood and buildings

Cambridge has seen an increase in impervious, or impenetrable, surfaces and loss of tree canopy in the recent past that has increased the City’s UHI.

The City is prioritizing the planting of trees on both public and private properties.

An interactive map of the City allows users to assess how much roof surfaces absorb heat from sunlight as measured by albedo, which is the proportion of the solar radiation that is reflected by a surface. Dark rooftops that have a low albedo absorb and give off more heat.

To find out how your building is performing, click below.

Cambridge Urban Heat Dashboard

Buildings

A livable indoor air temperature and healthy buildings are imperative to public health.

Maintaining a livable indoor air temperature and healthy buildings are essential to public health, therefore a building’s resiliency to extreme heat is a critical component of Resilient Cambridge.

Currently, the State requires landlords to maintain a livable temperature between 68 degrees and 78 degrees between September 15th and June 15th (heating season). There is no similar requirement for cooling. 

But as average temperatures become higher, the demand for cooling rises. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, increasing peak energy demand and risk for brownouts. Buildings will need to adapt to increased temperatures in several ways. Currently, there is no similar requirement for cooling.

By 2070, there will be more cooling-degree days than heating.

Communities

Are You at Risk?

Extreme heat can impact everyone.

The City of Cambridge developed resilience flyers to help you assess your risk. These flyers also provide steps for you, your home, or your business to prepare within 24 hours or less of an extreme heat event.

Residents

Businesses

Learn More

Planning for this "new normal" requires imaginative and responsive changes by the City and the community. Resilient Cambridge is substantive and optimistic and provides a comprehensive set of actions and strategies.

Click the button below to find out about the City’s Heat Strategies.

Credits

Images by City of Cambridge, unless otherwise noted.

The City is prioritizing the planting of trees on both public and private properties.

A livable indoor air temperature and healthy buildings are imperative to public health.

By the 2030s, average summer heat index in the City can be around 95°F, and by the 2070s, average summer heat index can be as high as 110°F. 

Senior citizens are among the group most at risk of extreme heat. Courtesy photo