Disparities in Heat Vulnerability in the United States

Yale Center on Climate Change and Health (YCCCH)

Exposure to extreme heat adversely affects a comprehensive spectrum of diseases, including  myocardial infarction (i.e., heart attack)  stroke ,  diabetes  kidney diseases  unintentional injuries , and  mental disorders , leading to increased mortality and morbidity burden.

The burden of  heat-related illness is inequitably distributed  due to disparities in heat exposure and access to individual- and community-level protective factors.

To better understand place-based and race/ethnicity-based disparities in heat vulnerability across the United States, an expansive and uniform Heat Vulnerability Index (HVI) was developed. The HVI aimed to quantify the various socioeconomic, demographic, biological, and exposure  determinants of heat vulnerability  into a single measure. The resulting HVI scores were assessed across historical and contemporary measures of residential disparity, and for the various race/ethnicity groups in the United States.

For a full description of the methodology, results, and discussion, see  Residential and Race/Ethnicity Disparities in Heat Vulnerability in the United States  (DOI: 10.1029/2022GH000695).


Heat Vulnerability Index

Heat Vulnerability Index (HVI) scores were calculated for 55,267 U.S. census tracts. Scores ranged from 10 to 26 with a country-wide mean equal to 17.47. HVI scores in urban areas were, on average, 0.29 points higher   than in non-urban areas.

Click on a census tract to view the HVI score, factor scores and geographic identifying information.

Use the search icon to look for a city or zip code.


Residential Disparities in Heat Vulnerability

Home Owners' Loan Corporation (HOLC) Grade

In the 1930s, the  Home Owners' Loan Corporation (HOLC)  created lending maps to assess a neighborhood's level of loan risk. Lending risk grades were given based on neighborhoods'  demographic composition , public utilities and physical building conditions.  HOLC grades  ranged from "A" to "D", where 'A' was "Best", 'B' was 'Desirable', 'C' was "Definitely Declining", and 'D' was "Hazardous". These HOLC maps were color coded, with the highest-risk areas colored red, giving rise to the term " redlining ".

HVI score increased by 0.8 points for each one-point increase in weighted HOLC grade.

Heat Vulnerability Index Scores for Weighted HOLC Graded Census Tracts

Distribution of Census Tract Heat Vulnerability Index Scores for HOLC Grades

Mean HVI scores were 17.56 for HOLC grade A census tracts, 18.61 for grade B, 19.45 for grade C, and 19.93 for grade D.

HVI scores were higher for each incrementally higher-risk HOLC grade, differing by 1.05 between ‘A’ and ‘B,’ by 0.84 between ‘B’ and ‘C,’ and by 0.48 between ‘C’ and ‘D’.

Interact with the maps to compare the spatial distribution of HVI scores and HOLC grades.

Climate and Economic Justice Screening Tool (CEJST) Community Status

The White House Council on Environmental Quality's  Climate and Economic Justice Screening Tool (CEJST)  identifies "disadvantaged" communities based on various socioeconomic, environmental and health criteria. The CEJST provides a contemporary measure of residential disparity in the United States, though differing from HOLC grades by its inclusion of suburban and rural areas, as well as by its  equity promoting purpose .

Mean HVI score for "disadvantaged" census tracts was 2.45 points higher than for "non-disadvantaged" census tracts

Average HVI score was highest for "disadvantaged" census tracts with HOLC grade 'D' (20.4) and lowest for "non-disadvantaged" census tracts with HOLC grade 'A' (17.3).

Heat Vulnerability Index Scores for Disadvantaged Communities and HOLC Grades

Interact with the maps to compare the spatial distribution of HVI scores and CEJST-defined "disadvantaged" communities


Race/Ethnicity Disparities in Heat Vulnerability

The disproportionate exposure of communities of color to environmental hazards is a fundamental manifestation of environmental racism in the United States. Using data from the  American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Demographic and Housing Estimates from 2019 , heat vulnerability was analyzed for the various race/ethnicity groups in the United States.

Heat Vulnerability Index Scores Interquartile Range for Race/Ethnicity Groups

The mean HVI score was highest for the non-Hispanic Black or African American race/ethnicity group at 18.51, followed by 18.19 for Hispanic or Latino of any race, 17.95 for Other races, 17.31 for Asian, 17.05 for American Indian or Alaskan Native, 17.05 for Multi-race, 16.76 for non-Hispanic White, and 16.76 for Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander.

Non-white persons were overrepresented in the most heat-vulnerable census tracts

Race/Ethnicity Group Population Proportions Within Heat Vulnerability Index Score Categories


Residential and racial inequalities associated with heat vulnerability identified by this study confirm the persistent legacy of racist policies in the United States and their connection to contemporary environmental injustices. Our findings can help inform policymakers about the national distribution of place- and race-based disparities in heat vulnerability to develop equity-promoting climate adaptation policies.


We gratefully acknowledge support from the Yale Planetary Solutions Project seed grant and the High Tide Foundation.

Data on the heat vulnerability index and its indicators is available  here .

Contributions

Author

Conceptualization, data curation, formal analysis, methodology, writing, and StoryMap

Methodology, review, and editing

Methodology, review, and editing

Visualization, review, and editing

Conceptualization, data curation, methodology, review, and editing

Heat Vulnerability Index Scores for Weighted HOLC Graded Census Tracts

Distribution of Census Tract Heat Vulnerability Index Scores for HOLC Grades

Heat Vulnerability Index Scores for Disadvantaged Communities and HOLC Grades

Heat Vulnerability Index Scores Interquartile Range for Race/Ethnicity Groups

Race/Ethnicity Group Population Proportions Within Heat Vulnerability Index Score Categories