On the Shore of Salty Soils and Rising Seas

Analyzing the impacts of sea level rise and saltwater intrusion on the marshes, farms, and communities of the Eastern Shore.

Saltwater intrusion is the landward movement of salt as sea levels rise. At the University of Maryland, the Agroecology Lab is studying the impacts of saltwater intrusion on coastal farms and tidal marshes in the Mid-Atlantic region, which is currently experiencing higher levels of sea level rise than the global average. These impacts include species invasions, crop yield declines, loss of farmland, and runoff of legacy nutrients into the Chesapeake Bay (Tully et al., 2019).

An extensive tributary system connects land management to water quality in the Chesapeake Bay. Before the arrival of European settlers, these forested lands sustained a scattered network of Indigenous tribes. Following colonization, the population grew exponentially, leading to vast declines in water quality from urban and agricultural runoff. Today, poor land management and urban sprawl threaten natural filters like wetlands and compound nutrient management in the watershed (Chesapeake Bay Foundation).

As the "invisible flood" of saltwater intrusion spreads, coastal farmers incur yield declines, profit loss, and marsh migration onto their fields. In the short term, farmers can plant crops and native plants that are salt-tolerant, lower-input, and able to uptake legacy nutrients. In the long run, they can proactively convert farmland into marshland or enroll abandoned fields in conservation easements that restore wetland vegetation, control invasive species, and provide natural barriers to saltwater intrusion and nutrient runoff (Tully et al., 2019).  

Like any impact of climate change, saltwater intrusion and sea level rise affect communities and ecosystems at different spatial and temporal scales. Thus, scientists and policymakers must use a socio-ecological framework to analyze present mitigation strategies and future adaption.


Scaling the Impacts of Saltwater Intrusion and Sea Level Rise to the Eastern Shore

Tidal Marshes

Ecosystem Services and Stability

Coastal Farmers

Salty Soils and Agroecology

Local Communities

Policy and Public Perception

The Chesapeake Bay

Water Quality and Nutrient Management


Tidal Marshes

As sea levels rise, the coastal salt marshes of the Delmarva Peninsula are migrating inland. These tidal marshes are usually populated with grasses and other salt tolerant species. Marsh ecosystems are some of the most productive in the world (National Park Service, 2016). An observable trait of marsh migration is the distribution of the invasive perrenial grass, Phragmites australis (Meadows et al., 2007).

Paul Leoni, 2023

While Phragmites australis is native to the Mid-Atlantic region, an aggressive subspecies has become a nuisance for farmers and land owners on the Eastern Shore. It grows in dense patches, and can reach heights of 20 feet tall. With compact stands of the grass occupying the ditches and gullies adjacent to coastal cropland, drainage of the field is reduced. As increasingly salty waters enter areas of higher elevation that were once protected from salinity, Phragmites fills spaces that less salt tolerant plants cannot. Farmers and land owners are forced to spend time and money on the containment and removal of Phragmites, exemplifying a costly impact of sea level rise on the Eastern Shore.

1

Wildlife

With established coastline disappearing, animals are losing the ecosystems they rely on. As salty waters and soils creep inland, the landscape doesn't have time to react, creating resource barren environments like ghost forests and floodplains. (Photos: Paul Leoni, 2023)

2

Vegetation

As the salinity of the soil increases, plant species that once inhabited marsh adjacent areas can no longer survive. With a higher frequency of severe storms, soils cannot retain nutrients they would acquire in undisturbed regions. (Photos: Paul Leoni, 2023)

3

Agriculture

As salt water infiltrates much of the Eastern Shore's cropland, farmers are forced to abandon fields that provided them with income. A white crust called salt pan develops on plots that are most exposed. (Photos: Paul Leoni, 2023)

Protecting the American Black Duck Population

Anas rubripes, or the American Black Duck, have recently seen a concerning decline in population. With suitable wetland habitat declining rapidly, and increasing competition from species that fill similar ecological roles, the Black Duck population has not managed to return to original levels after a 50% decline in numbers in the last three decades. Researchers now refer to the American Black Duck as a flagship species, representing how sea level rise jeopardizes the biodiversity of coastal environments. To help American Black Ducks return in full numbers to the eastern United States, the Atlantic Coast Joint Venture (ACJV) region has implemented an extensive conservation plan (ACJV, 2020).

Evan Lipton, 2014

Aims of the Black Duck Conservation Plan:

  • Protect Marsh Migration Corridors
  • Restore Tidal Wetland Hydrology
  • Improve Water Level Management on Managed Wetlands
  • Control Exotic and Invasive Species
  • Facilitate Marsh Migration

Major Threats to the Black Duck Population

Ranked List of Threats to Black Duck Population (ACJV Black Duck Conservation Plan, 2020)


American Black Duck Call (above)


Coastal Farmers

Coastal farmers on the Eastern Shore are affected by saltwater intrusion due to their proximity to the shoreline. Saltwater intrusion disrupts soil composition and traditional crop growth. As saltwater seeps landward, it jeopardizes the delicate balance required for successful cultivation, resulting in diminished yields and financial losses for farmers who rely on cultivable land for their livelihoods. Rick Abend, owner of Abend Hafen Tree Farm, encapsulates the broader struggle farmers face along the Eastern Shore and beyond. His experience highlights the urgent need for sustainable solutions to mitigate saltwater intrusion's adverse effects on agricultural productivity.

Amelia Johnson, 2023. As Abend dedicates years to land preservation, his story captures the urgency for solutions and the changes unfolding on the Eastern Shore.


Local Communities

While many coastal communities across the Delmarva Peninsula face challenges brought on by sea level rise, Dorchester County exemplifies the situation's urgency. What was once Maryland's 4th largest county by land area will become the 14th largest by 2100. Researchers predict that the Chesapeake Bay will see a 2-foot sea level rise by 2050 and a 5.5-foot rise by 2100. The flat terrain means that a modest rise can reach far inland. The slow and steady process of sea level rise might take time to become apparent. But over time, residents have seen erosion claim shoreline, crops whither from saltwater intrusion, and land become inundated with nuisance flooding. 

Nuisance flooding occurs when high tides, rain, or other weather events cause disturbances to roads and homes but not immediate damage. For example, some towns in Dorchester occasionally schedule school release times to allow buses onto the streets before the tide submerges them. Faster processes like hurricanes and associated storm surges cause immediate damage. These slow and fast processes upend livelihoods and cause communities to rearrange their daily activities. While some of the worst effects of sea level rise will be painfully apparent in the not-so-distant future, residents are already suffering the consequences. 

Map of Dorchester County

Ming Li's (professor at University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science) projections of the effect of sea level rise on Dorchester County from 2017 (High Tide in Dorchester, 2018).

Ming Li's (professor at University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science) projections of the effect of sea level rise on Dorchester County from 2050 (High Tide in Dorchester, 2018).

Ming Li's (professor at University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science) projections of the effect of sea level rise on Dorchester County 2075 (High Tide in Dorchester, 2018).

There is good news, however: sea level rise is not inevitable. Given it is caused by the adverse effects of burning fossil fuels, one solution is to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Doing so is easier said than done since it requires major infrastructure change, money, and political will. However, farmers in Dorchester County have options that address the effects they are already experiencing. Broadly, farmers can decide between cutting their losses and abandoning patches or entire fields, changing land use to adapt to sea level rise, and building infrastructure to resist rising tides. Adaptation options include planting to attract wildlife and game, building solar farms on salty soils, or planting salt-tolerant crops. Resistance sturctures can include berms, ditches, or tide gates.

Several  federal  and  state  financial incentives exist for farmers applying for easements. This policy compensates farmers for changing land use from agriculture to conservation. Additionally, due to sea level rise, the county's new structures must be raised two feet above a base flood level. On the coastline, the Maryland Department of Natural Resources has introduced a pilot program to build living shorelines to prevent erosion and protect shorelines from flooding. However, only one project of 24 proposed has been completed in Dorchester County. 


The Chesapeake Bay

Eutrophication is the process that connects land management, water quality, and local economies in the Chesapeake Bay watershed. When there is an excess of nitrogen and phosphorus in the water, algae can bloom at harmful levels. “Dead zones” form when the algae die, sink to the bottom, and are decomposed by bacteria––a process that strips dissolved oxygen from the surrounding water. Dense algal blooms can also block sunlight from reaching underwater grasses that provide food and shelter for aquatic animals (Chesapeake Bay Foundation).

Paul Leoni, 2023. Dead zones harm fish, crabs, oysters, and other marine organisms humans depend on for food and livelihoods. Algal blooms can also release toxins into water sources, impacting tourism, recreation, and drinking water quality.

Agricultural runoff from farmland carries nutrients from fertilizers and animal manure into rivers and streams that flow into the Chesapeake Bay. Other sources of pollution include urban and suburban stormwater, wastewater, and airborne contaminants. Currently, the Chesapeake Bay's Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL), a provision of the Clean Water Act, sets enforceable limits on the maximum amount of pollution the waterbody can accept to meet water quality standards for public health and healthy ecosystems.

Chesapeake Bay Foundation, 2020. An informational video outlining the Chesapeake Clean Water Blueprint, a historic plan established in 2010 to restore water quality in the Chesapeake Bay watershed.

Saltwater intrusion compounds nutrient management in the watershed by extracting nitrogen and phosphorus from agricultural soils after farmlands have been abandoned. Thus, regulatory efforts to control pollution must account for unanticipated nutrient loading from legacy nutrients in salt-damaged fields. To start, scientists and policymakers can identify the agricultural areas most at risk for nutrient runoff into the Chesapeake Bay as saltwater intrusion moves across the landscape.

Paul Leoni, 2023. Scientists surveying a flooded and salt-damaged corn field in Virginia.

To quantify the risk of nutrient runoff into the Chesapeake Bay, opportunistic grab samples were collected from drainage ditches, puddles, ponds, and tidal creeks within agricultural fields and wetlands on the Eastern Shore. A refractometer was used to measure the salinity of the water bodies, a proxy for tidal connectedness to the Chesapeake watershed. Since saltwater intrusion can dislodge legacy nutrients in agricultural soils (Tully et al., 2019)areas of higher connectedness are at greater risk of becoming conduits for nitrogen and phosphorus runoff into the bay.

Using ArcGIS Pro, the salinity of each sample was scaled into five categories based on natural intervals in the data. This salinity gradient was used to determine the following point system for quantifying the risk of nutrient runoff: very low (1), low (2), medium (3), high (4), and very high (5). Each site was assigned a risk score based on its average point value. Five sites (MID, OAT, PGOK, NFA, GRG) were agricultural fields within the Chesapeake watershed, while two sites (VAG, VCR) were tidal wetlands connected to the Atlantic. Each site had the following level of risk: VCR (3.83), VAG (3), POGK (3), MID (2.67), NFA (2.6), GRG (2.5), OAT (1).

Albeit outside the Chesapeake Bay watershed, wetland puddles and tidal creeks had the greatest salinity values and represented the highest risk for nutrient runoff. Yet, wetlands act as natural buffers for agricultural runoff, as marsh vegetation can absorb excess nutrients before they reach oceans and estuaries.

The agricultural fields within the Chesapeake watershed differed based on crop type, number of drainage ditches, and fertilizer use. Varying conditions like rain, temperature, and soil pH also compounded salinity readings. Presumably, each agricultural site had different amounts of legacy nutrients within the soil based on past applications of nitrogen and phosphorus-based fertilizers.

By quantifying the risk of nutrient runoff into the Chesapeake Bay, policymakers can proactively manage and mitigate saltwater intrusion by implementing stricter regulations for nutrient inputs in high-risk zones. Financial incentives like tax credits can also encourage local farmers to allow marsh migration onto damaged or abandoned agricultural fields––a process that expands nature-based nutrient buffers with associated ecosystem services and biodiversity benefits (Tully et al., 2019).

Future risk analyses should account for other environmental factors predisposing agricultural fields to nutrient runoff into the Bay. These include proximity to the estuary, drainage ditch architecture, and soil chemistry. Risk studies should also provide landowners with diverse solutions that recognize their individual constraints in mitigating the impact of saltwater intrusion on the Chesapeake Bay watershed. 


Seeing the Impacts of Saltwater Intrusion and Sea Level Rise on the Eastern Shore

Paul Leoni, 2023. Featured scientists: Nate Spicer, Brian Moyer, Kat Raino, Amelia Johnson, Adi Kolff.

Paul Leoni, 2023

Evan Lipton, 2014

Ranked List of Threats to Black Duck Population (ACJV Black Duck Conservation Plan, 2020)

Ming Li's (professor at University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science) projections of the effect of sea level rise on Dorchester County from 2017 (High Tide in Dorchester, 2018).

Ming Li's (professor at University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science) projections of the effect of sea level rise on Dorchester County from 2050 (High Tide in Dorchester, 2018).

Ming Li's (professor at University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science) projections of the effect of sea level rise on Dorchester County 2075 (High Tide in Dorchester, 2018).

Paul Leoni, 2023. Dead zones harm fish, crabs, oysters, and other marine organisms humans depend on for food and livelihoods. Algal blooms can also release toxins into water sources, impacting tourism, recreation, and drinking water quality.

Paul Leoni, 2023. Scientists surveying a flooded and salt-damaged corn field in Virginia.

To quantify the risk of nutrient runoff into the Chesapeake Bay, opportunistic grab samples were collected from drainage ditches, puddles, ponds, and tidal creeks within agricultural fields and wetlands on the Eastern Shore. A refractometer was used to measure the salinity of the water bodies, a proxy for tidal connectedness to the Chesapeake watershed. Since saltwater intrusion can dislodge legacy nutrients in agricultural soils (Tully et al., 2019)areas of higher connectedness are at greater risk of becoming conduits for nitrogen and phosphorus runoff into the bay.