November 17, 2013: Washington, IL Tornado

A mangled car sits along side a street with debris all around it.

Summary

Number of Tornadoes in Illinois during November since 1950

A significant late season tornado outbreak occurred on November 17, 2013. In total 25 tornadoes occurred on this day including two EF-4s (one in NWS Lincoln's and one in NWS St. Louis's County Warning Area (CWA)). This outbreak ranks among the largest in November in Illinois' history. Twenty-one of these tornadoes were rated significant (EF-2 or higher).

The most significant tornado touched down near Washington, IL and traveled through Tazewell and Woodford Counties. It was rated an EF-4 with winds of 190 mph as it moved through the west side of Washington. It was on the ground for 46.2 miles and injured 125 people, while killing 3.


Tornado Rating and Fast Facts

A mapping of the overall tornado path, from the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit
A mapping of the overall tornado path, from the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit

Overall track of the Washington tornado (46.2 miles)

Fast Facts

  • This event had just over 70 tornadoes across seven states - Illinois, Missouri, Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio.  Illinois and Indiana had 55 of these tornadoes.
  • There were 25 tornadoes in Illinois, with 14 being significant (EF-2 or stronger). Of these, two were EF-4 and three were EF-3.
  • At the time, this ranked as the 4th largest outbreak for the state of Illinois, in terms of number of tornadoes, since 1950.
  • One supercell in Illinois produced five tornadoes, which were the ones to impact Pekin, Washington, Dana, Coal City, Manhattan, and Frankfort. 
  • The EF-4 tornado with maximum estimated winds of 190 mph that struck Washington, IL was the strongest on record for Illinois in the month of November since 1950.
  • 101 tornado warnings were issued for Illinois by the National Weather Service on November 17.

Timeline of Events

Storm Prediction Center Forecasts

Thu. 4:00 am

SPC Outlining a large area of the Ohio Valley into a day 4 risk for severe weather.

Fri. 2:30 am

Initial outlook of the SPC Day 3 severe weather outlook, issued Friday morning and valid for Sunday

Sat. 12:59 am

Initial Day 2 severe weather outlook, issued early Saturday and valid for Sunday

Sat. 11:32 am

 Day 2 Outlook  (Routine Update)

Routine update of the Day 2 severe weather outlook

Sat. 11:52 pm

Initial issuance of the Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook

Sun. 2:49 am

Image of the public Severe Weather Outlook issued at 2:49 am Sunday

Sun 6:59 am

Routine update of the Day 1 severe weather outlook, issued around 7 am

Tornado Event

7:47 am

This Mesoscale Discussion outlines most of West-Central Illinois explaining that a tornado watch will likely be coming by mid-late morning.

8:40 am

The PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) Watch issued for most of Illinois.

10:29 am

The second update to the day 1 outlook shows little change overall for the forecast period. Illinois is still under a moderate risk for severe weather with a 15% hatched tornado risk (EF2+ tornadoes are possible in the hatched area).

10:49 am

The mesoscale discussion highlights all of NWS Lincoln's CWA and mentions that the risk for significant, long track tornadoes is increasing.

10:50 am

Tornado Warning for: Marquette Heights/Creve Coeur, East Peoria/Morton, Washington/Germantown, Deer Creek, Eureka/Metamora

Tornado warning for radar indicated rotation with Washington in the warning polygon.

10:57 am

Tornado Warning for: Metamora, Washburn, Varna, Toluca, Wenona, Cazenovia, Low Point, La Rose, and Pattonsburg

10:59 am

Tornado Touches Down 2.4 miles Southeast of East Peoria

11:00 am

Severe Weather Statement: Confirmed Damaging Tornado

A confirmed tornado warning issued for areas near Washington.

11:06 am

PDS Tornado Warning - Emergency Management Confirmed

A PDS tornado warning issued for areas near Washington.

11:07 am

Tornado moves through Washington

11:12 am

PDS Tornado Warning - Radar Confirmed (debris ball signature) for: Near Washington, Roanoke, Minonk, Toluca, Wenona, Cazenovia, Low Point, La Rose, and Pattonsburg

A PDS tornado warning issued for areas near Washington.

11:15 am

Severe Weather Statement

A severe weather statement issued for a radar indicated rotation storm.

11:21 am

NWS Lincoln Hazardous Weather Outlook

This hazardous weather outlook discusses that strong tornadoes are possible.

11:22 am

PDS Tornado Warning

A PDS tornado warning issued for the storm near Roanoke. This tornado is confirmed by emergency management.

11:47 am

Washington Tornado lifts in Livingston County after 46.2 mile path


Environmental Data

Twice a day, 95 NWS offices across the country launch a weather balloon with an attached radiosonde. The radiosonde ascends through the atmosphere to get a vertical "snapshot" of current weather conditions. The weather conditions are plotted onto a skew-T diagram to get a profile of the atmosphere. The left image is the 12z/6AM CST morning sounding that was launched by NWS Lincoln. The NWS office at the Quad Cities launched a weather balloon at 14Z/8AM CST (middle) which helped capture a snapshot of the environment before NWS Lincoln released a weather balloon at 16Z/10AM CST (right).

Upper-Air and Surface Analysis

The weather balloon data from the balloon launches across the NWS is then analyzed on standard pressure levels above the ground. This will create upper-air surface analyses.

250 mb wind heights from 12Z and 00Z.

250 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

300 mb wind heights from 12Z and 00Z.

300 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

500 mb wind heights from 12Z and 00Z.

500 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

700 mb wind heights from 12Z and 00Z.

700 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

850 mb wind heights from 12Z and 00Z.

850 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

Surface analysis depicts a cold front moving into the area.

Surface analysis from 9 am (left) and 12 pm (right)

This animation has surface observations overlaid with dew points. This allows for an easy depiction of where the cold front is.

Animated map of surface conditions from 4 am to 5 pm on November 17, 2013 (colors depict dewpoint temperatures)

Kinematic (motion of objects) Environment

Very strong deep layer shear occurring at the time of tornadogenesis ~ 60 kts

0-6 km wind shear shows a favorable environment for storm development across Illinois.

0-6km shear vector from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

Very high Storm Relative Helicity (SRH) values which are indicative of producing tornadoes

Very high amounts of SRH are favorable for tornadoes.

0-1 km SRH values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

Effective Bulk Shear 0f 60 - 70 knots is supportive of supercells

High values of effective bulk shear are conducive for supercells.

Effective Bulk Shear values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

High values of Effective SRH of 400-600 are supportive of a significant tornado. This is in the upper echelon of significant tornadoes.

High values of ESRH are conducive for supercells.

Effective SRH values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

Thermodynamics (heat/energy/work)

Surface Based CAPE (SBCAPE) was nearing 2000 J/kg and was uncapped. This storm system had plenty of energy to work with.

SBCAPE is the energy for storms to use. Unseasonably high values were present on November 17.

SBCAPE values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

0-3 km MLCAPE overlaid with surface vorticity indicates strong CAPE in the lower levels with lift at the surface.

MLCAPE has high values that is overlaid with surface vorticity. Low-level energy and surface lift, can provide a spark for tornadoes.

0-3 km MLCAPE with surface vorticity 10 am (left) and 11 am (right)

Composite Indices

From the Significant Tornado Parameter Indices, values over one have a statistically higher odds to be EF-2 or greater. On November 17, The values were approaching three.

Significant tornado parameter (effective) is high with a value of 3 across east-central Illinois.

Significant Tornado Parameter 10 am (left) and 11 am (right)


Radar Imagery

Radar loop from 10 am to 11:36 am

Radar can tell meteorologists not only where precipitation is occurring, but if storms are capable of producing a tornado. In the image below, the reflectivity (left panel) is showing a classic "hook" echo. The pink/purple "ball" north of Washington is the debris ball. This occurs as large amounts of debris such as trees, buildings, and other objects are lofted into the air. The image to the right is where velocity (wind) data is seen by the radar. When the greens (winds going towards the radar, located south of Washington) and reds (winds going away from the radar) meet and are next to each other, meteorologists call this a couplet. On this day, a strong couplet was noted where the debris ball is located, furthering the confidence that a strong tornado was on the ground.

Radar imagery at 11:07 am depicting reflectivity (left) and storm relative velocity (right)

Different views of the storm from a radars perspective. Including parameters as far as reflectivity, differential reflectivity, correlation coefficient, and specific differential phase.

Radar image at 11:07 am depicting a debris ball

These images were taken at 11:07 am, and are collectively showing what is referred to as a Tornado Debris Signature.  By this time, the tornado had passed through Washington. The debris ball is in the top left. The other images are part of the dual-polarization upgrade that was performed on the radar in the fall of 2012. The top right image is called "differential reflectivity" (ZDR), and is a ratio of the reflected horizontal and vertical parts of the radar beam. The lower right image is called "correlation coefficient" (CC), and is a measure of how the horizonal and vertical pulses of the radar beam are behaving. Low values of CC are an indication of non-precipitation targets detected by the radar beam. The low values of ZDR and CC (blue shades) within the yellow circles, which line up with the significantly high values of the standard reflectivity, help the radar operator be certain that a tornado is occurring.

Radar tracks from the lifecycle of the storm as it progressed from the beginning to the ending.

Overall reflectivity tracks from NWS Lincoln and NWS Chicago radars

Tornado Timeline via Radar on November 17, 2013

10:58 am

This radar image from 10:58 am shows a hook echo, associated with the developing tornado, approaching the east end of I-474.  The tornado touched down at 10:59 am

Hook echo near Marquette Heights, southwest of Washington.

11:03 am

The next radar image, from 11:03 am, shows the hook echo persisting near the red triangle (which is the radar's Tornado Vortex Signature, or TVS)

Hook echo with a TVS signature as it moving closer to Washington.

11:07 am

This radar image is after the tornado went through Washington. The Debris Ball is just north of the "W" in Washington

A debris ball is displayed north of Washington.

11:12 am

The tornado had exited the northeast corner of Tazewell County and entered Woodford County southeast of Metamora

The storm moves on and continues with the hook echo as it approaches Metamora.

11:17 am

The tornado was between Metamora and Roanoke.  The debris ball is still clearly visible

A large debris ball is visible on radar.

11:22 am

By 11:22 am, the tornado was passing north of Roanoke

Tornado passes north of Roanoke with a debris ball still present.

11:31 am

The tornado was approaching I-39 near Minonk

The tornado begins to exit NWS Lincoln's CWA.

11:41 am

The tornado remained on the ground as it moved through extreme southern La Salle County.  On this image at 11:41 am, it was located just north of Dana and was crossing into Livingston County.  The tornado finally lifted at 11:47 am, just east of Long Point

The end of the tornado as it lifts six minutes later.

Radar-Indicated Circulation Tracks

Rotation tracks of the Washington supercell. You can see rotation near Washington.

Radar Indicated Tracks of the Tornado

Rotation tracks for the whole state during November 17, 2013. Many storms were rotating on this day.

Overall radar rotation tracks on November 17, 2013


Tornado and Damage Photos

(Photo credits: Top row - Tom Johnson; lower left - Justin Hassler; lower center - Kirk Roberts; lower right - Jared Barker. Used with permission.)

(NWS staff)

(NWS staff)

(Woodford County EMA, used with permission)

(Steve Smedley/Bloomington Pantagraph, used with permission)

(Shujen Chen, taken February 2014, used with permission)


Path Photos

Google Earth images taken the next day, showing the widespread damage and scouring in the dirt. In the lower right image, the Parsons Manufacturing Plant near Roanoke, which was destroyed by an F4 tornado in 2004, came within 2/3 of a mile of being hit once again.

(Ethan Schisler, used with permission)


Interactive Map

Click the (+) button to zoom into the map to see the EF4 damage points (red triangles) and the (-) button to zoom out to see the whole path with damage points. The triangles will contain information about damage indicators for that location.

Washington Tornado Track and Damage Points


For Those Affected

We at the National Weather Service Lincoln want to express our deepest sympathy to those who were affected by this powerful storm. The tornado that impacted Washington left not only a mark on the city, but on us at NWS Lincoln as well.

This map was made to commemorate the 10 year anniversary of the tornado.

Story Map Credits

This story map was created by the  National Weather Service in Lincoln, Illinois , for the 10th anniversary of the Washington EF4 tornado.

Story map design and research

Anthony Yattoni (Summer Volunteer)

Quality control

Chris Geelhart (Lead Meteorologist)

Storm damage photos

National Weather Service staff from Lincoln and Chicago; Mike Oltman (Woodford County EMA); Steve Smedley (Bloomington Pantagraph); Ethan Schisler; Tom Johnson; Shujen Chen; Justin Hassler; Kirk Roberts

Number of Tornadoes in Illinois during November since 1950

Overall track of the Washington tornado (46.2 miles)

250 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

300 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

500 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

700 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

850 mb analysis chart at 6 am (left) and 6 pm (right)

Surface analysis from 9 am (left) and 12 pm (right)

Animated map of surface conditions from 4 am to 5 pm on November 17, 2013 (colors depict dewpoint temperatures)

0-6km shear vector from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

0-1 km SRH values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

Effective Bulk Shear values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

Effective SRH values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

SBCAPE values from 10 am (left) to 11 am (right)

0-3 km MLCAPE with surface vorticity 10 am (left) and 11 am (right)

Significant Tornado Parameter 10 am (left) and 11 am (right)

Radar image at 11:07 am depicting a debris ball

Overall reflectivity tracks from NWS Lincoln and NWS Chicago radars

Radar Indicated Tracks of the Tornado

Overall radar rotation tracks on November 17, 2013