Whanganui Inlet

Broad Scale Temporal Changes in Seagrass Extent 1948-2024

Overview

Whanganui Inlet is a relatively unmodified, large (2741ha), tidal lagoon estuary located on the northwest coast of Te Tau Ihu/ Top of the South Island. It has a single wide entrance (1.5km), a large well-flushed central basin, and two main arms (5-7km long, 1-2km wide). Each arm has several islands and many small inlets where streams enter the estuary, most of which have tidal flows constricted by road causeways.

The estuary is ecologically diverse with large areas of intertidal salt marsh, extensive seagrass beds, as well as dunes, cliffs, rock platforms, underwater reefs, and a well-vegetated terrestrial margin dominated by coastal forest (including kahikatea, pukatea, rata, beech, rimu and nikau).

The image to the left shows wide beds of salt marsh and seagrass growing in the central basin of the estuary (March 2021).

The estuary is highly valued for its aesthetic appeal, rich biodiversity, whitebaiting, fishing, boating, walking, and scientific interest.

Approximately 30 species of marine fish use the inlet at some stage of their life history. It is an important breeding and nursery area for snapper, flatfish, kahawai and whitebait. It is also important for birdlife, particularly waders, and is connected to large areas of wetland and freshwater streams.

It is a dual protected area with a marine reserve in the southern third and a wildlife reserve over the remaining two-thirds. A Ramsar 'wetland of international importance' application is pending on Whanganui Inlet, Mangarakau Swamp and Lake Otuhie.

Catchment

Whanganui Inlet has largely avoided major human impacts due to much of the catchment being protected. Approximately 90% of the catchment is native forest/scrub, with just 2% exotic forest, 2% high producing grassland, and 6% low producing grassland. Consequently, the estuary is perceived to be near pristine.

Click on the legend in the lower left corner of the map to identify different land uses within the catchment.

The largely unmodified catchment means the risk of direct human stressors on the estuary is low. The largest stressor is expected to be mud inputs from intensive land use or forest harvesting if run-off is poorly managed. Climate change related increases in storm frequency or intensity are expected to exacerbate this risk in future.

Seagrass

Seagrass beds are a significant feature of Whanganui Inlet. Seagrass grows in soft sediments in most New Zealand estuaries and provides enhanced primary production and nutrient cycling, stabilisation of sediments, increased biodiversity, sequestration of carbon, and nursery and feeding grounds for a range of invertebrates and fish. The photo shows a patch of dense and healthy seagrass supporting cockles and marine snails.

Although tolerant of a wide range of conditions, seagrass is vulnerable to fine sediments in the water column (reducing light), sediment smothering (burial), and impacts related to excessive nutrients (e.g., algal blooms) leading to degraded sediment quality (e.g., increased organic enrichment and depleted oxygen levels from decaying algae).

Any decline in seagrass extent is of concern due to the associated loss of the important ecosystem services provided. If there are no obvious direct impacts linked to seagrass decline (i.e., changes in local catchment land use), then other drivers of change external to the catchments of the estuary (e.g., marine heat waves, marine sediment or nutrient inputs) may be present. 

2024 Seagrass

In March 2024, seagrass in the estuary was mapped by Tasman District Council as part of their regional state of the environment monitoring programme (such mapping was also carried out in 2013, 2016, and 2021 - see next sections).

Seagrass was present across 165ha (8.5% of the 1954ha intertidal area), with high to complete (50-100%) cover over 33.1ha (1.7%) of the intertidal flats. Most seagrass (88%) was growing in sand substrate (<10% mud content), with a further 11% in muddy sand (10-25% mud content).

Click on the map to the left to explore the 2024 seagrass extent in the estuary. Click the lower left button to show a legend of seagrass percent cover.

The 2024 results reveal recent seagrass losses have continued at an alarming rate.

Scroll down to use a slide bar to interactively compare changes in seagrass cover between 2013 and 2024. More detail on changes between survey years is presented below the slide bar. 

2013 vs 2024

Use the slide bar below to reveal differences in the location and extent of >50% seagrass cover in 2013 and 2024.

Loss of seagrass (>=50% cover) between 2013 (left) to 2024 (right).

Changes in Seagrass 1948-2024

To assess changes over time, seagrass cover has been mapped from aerial photography flown between 1945-1948, and compared to ground-truthed mapping of the estuary undertaken in 1990, 2013, 2016, 2021, and 2024.

The results are summarised below, and in the following maps (click on each title to show the relevant map), with temporal changes assessed based on the following rating table:

Percentage decrease from a measured baseline used to assess temporal changes in seagrass 

Reduction in seagrass area from 1948-2024.

Baseline seagrass cover in 1948 was digitised from historic black and white aerial imagery, with only clearly obvious seagrass beds (e.g., >50% cover) able to be mapped. Results showed seagrass covered 902ha (46.1% of the intertidal area), with near-continuous beds covering most of the eastern arm. In the western arm, where sediments appear to be more mobile, seagrass was present in smaller beds primarily on the intertidal flats near the south-eastern shoreline. 

The first comprehensive ground-truthed mapping of the estuary was reported by Davidson (1990). Seagrass beds with >50% cover were present over 814ha (41.7% of the intertidal area), an 87ha (9.7%) reduction since 1948. The losses were primarily in the north of the east arm and, to a greater extent, in the west arm along the south-eastern shoreline. The percentage decrease in seagrass between 1948 and 1990 was rated as "Good".

2013 results showed seagrass beds with >50% cover were present over 714ha (36.5% of the intertidal area), a 101ha (12.4%) reduction since 1990, and a 188ha (20.8%) reduction since 1948. Most losses were in the western arm and lower eastern arm. The eastern arm also had widespread dieback of seagrass within existing beds, with large areas changing from complete (>90%) cover to dense (70-90%) cover. The percentage decrease in seagrass over the 23 years between 1990 and 2013 was rated as "Fair".

2016 results showed seagrass beds with >50% cover were present over 329ha (16.8% of the intertidal area), with a very rapid and extensive loss of 385ha (54%) over the 3 years since 2013, and a 573ha (64%) reduction since the 1948 baseline. The vast majority of the losses were from the eastern arm. The decrease in seagrass extent over the 3 years between 2013 and 2016 was rated as "Poor".

2021 results showed seagrass beds with >50% cover were present over 183ha (9.3% of the intertidal area). From 2016 to 2021, there was a loss of 146ha of high cover (>50%) seagrass, a 44% reduction over the 5-year period, and a 719ha (80%) reduction compared to the 1948 baseline. Most of the losses occurred in the eastern arm where dead or dying seagrass fronds, or rotting root masses, were the only remaining evidence of previously extensive seagrass beds. The decrease in seagrass extent over the 5 years between 2016 and 2021 was rated as "Poor".

2024 results showed seagrass beds with >50% cover present over 31.2ha (1.6% of the intertidal area). There was a large decline in extent between 2021 to 2024, with the loss of 151ha of high cover (>50%) seagrass, an 83% reduction over the 3-year period, rated as "Poor".

The vast majority of the losses were in the northeast, with most remaining seagrass beds now fragmented and small in size. In some areas where extensive seagrass beds have been lost, there has been a visually evident decrease in the extent of muddy sediment, with soft muds eroding to re-expose previously sand-dominated substrate.

Since 1948, 870ha of >50% cover seagrass has been lost, (with just 3% of the 1948 cover remaining. Most of the losses (683ha, 78%) occurred in the 11 years between 2013 and 2024. This likely represents one of the largest recent losses of intertidal seagrass recorded in New Zealand.

In a regional context, there is only 21.6ha of >50% seagrass cover in Waimea Inlet, 3.1ha in Moutere Inlet, and 14.6ha in Ruataniwha Inlet. The 683ha loss in Whanganui Inlet between 2013 and 2024 is therefore more than 17 times the combined area of seagrass present in all the other large estuaries in the Tasman region.

Seagrass dieback

Healthy seagrass beds in the estuary had dark green and luxuriant growth, in contrast to unhealthy beds which were stunted with a sparse cover of brown fronds, or had completely died leaving only residual root masses or raised mounds where sediments previously trapped by seagrass roots remained (see photo to the left).

The images below show very large dead seagrass beds in March 2021, and highlight raised beds where where fine muddy sediment was previously trapped by healthy seagrass. Erosion of unstabilised sediment from within parts of the raised beds is becoming evident.

Raised mounds where seagrass was previously growing (March 2021)

Recently dead seagrass beds (March 2021)

Early signs of seagrass dieback were present in December 2015, with the browning of seagrass leaves indicating plant stress, and extensive dead fronds being washed up on channel margins.

Browning of seagrass fronds indicating plant stress, December 2015

Dead seagrass fronds washed up on a channel margin, December 2015

Potential drivers of loss

There are several drivers that may potentially be responsible for the recent seagrass losses.

Seagrasses, because of their high light requirements, are particularly vulnerable to light reductions from smothering or any deterioration in water clarity. In many New Zealand estuaries with intensively developed catchments, excessive fine sediment inputs have resulted in increased turbidity or smothering of seagrass by sediment.

However, the prolonged presence of seagrass growing in mud-dominated sediments in Whanganui Inlet (since at least 1990), and the absence of any obvious changes in catchment land use or land disturbance over the past decade (when the most dramatic seagrass losses have occurred), suggests a catchment increase in fine sediment is unlikely to be the primary driver of change.

However fine sediments, previously trapped within seagrass beds which have died, are now being eroded and redistributed in the estuary. This is likely contributing to localised increases in turbidity and smothering and may be an important secondary driver of the recently documented seagrass losses.

The image to the left shows extensive flats of exposed and eroding fine sediment. This fine sediment was previously trapped within beds of seagrass that covered the whole area.

The remobilisation of fine sediment from dead seagrass beds is evident in data from three fine scale monitoring sites established in the estuary in December 2015 (Sites A, B and C on the map to the left). Sedimentation rates and sediment mud content were measured 13 months after establishment (January 2017), and again in March 2021, and March 2014, with results plotted below.

Change in sediment level compared to 2016 baseline (top) and corresponding sediment mud content (bottom)

Results show Site A, in the centrally located seagrass beds, had net sediment accretion and a reduction in mud content, indicating deposition of sands within the seagrass beds. The shift from mud to sand-dominated sediments, and the continued presence of seagrass at the site, suggests impacts to seagrass are likely minor. 

Site C, in the unvegetated southwest arm, showed little change over the monitoring period with very slight erosion and ongoing elevated sediment mud content. No seagrass is present at this site.

In contrast, Site B, in the mud-dominated northeast arm, had a large increase in sediment deposition between 2016 and 2017, followed by substantial erosion associated with declining mud content. Over the same period seagrass underwent a rapid decline with complete loss recorded in 2024.  

Because sediment plates have only been measured 3 times since 2016, it is not possible to determine temporal patterns of sediment accrual/erosion, or seagrass loss, in intervening years. However, the results clearly highlight that muddy sediments can be remobilised when no longer stabilised by seagrass. While the fate of any remobilised sediment is unclear, most of it it is expected to be redistributed to other parts of the estuary. 

Another potential driver of seagrass loss is impacts from excessive nutrient inputs. These have the potential to fuel nuisance macroalgal growths that may result in seagrass smothering, or the establishment of phytoplankton blooms which can cause seagrass losses through reductions in water clarity. However, nutrient related impacts are considered very unlikely as the areal nutrient load to the estuary is very low (4mgN/m 2 /d), and well below the ~100mgN/m 2 /d threshold at which nuisance macroalgae problems are predicted to occur. Further, the high rate of tidal exchange limits the potential for phytoplankton blooms to establish and persist.

The predicted low likelihood of nutrient related problems is supported by no reports of prolonged phytoplankton blooms, or excessive nuisance macroalgae in Whanganui Inlet.

Other known causes of seagrass decline include pollutants (stormwater, herbicides, fuel spills, wastewater discharges, etc.), physical disturbance (dredging, reclamation, aquaculture, trampling), introduced species, or climate change related effects (increased temperatures). Of these, the latter is the most likely driver in Whanganui Inlet as the low level of catchment development and low population pressure minimise the presence of most other stressors.

Severe marine summer heatwaves are known to cause acute and dramatic die-offs of seagrass meadows, with seagrass (Zostera muelleri) sensitive to small chronic temperature increases predicted under future climate change scenarios. Over recent years, and coinciding with the large recent seagrass losses in Whanganui Inlet, the Tasman Sea has experienced intense marine heat waves in the summers of 2015/16, 2016/17 and 2018/19, and had a long-term average rate of sea-surface warming of 0.4°C per decade between 1981 and 2018. Such changes may be sufficient to have caused the observed seagrass losses.

Other climatic changes could also be important including increased summer desiccation and heat stress, changes in salinity, or changes in rainfall intensity and frequency. In particular, two extreme rainfalls events were recorded in the Tasman region in December 2011 and April 2013 (Macara 2016) which may have also potentially contributed to the observed changes in seagrass.

As the recent seagrass losses do not appear to be caused by land use activities, there is little that TDC can manage directly to help prevent further seagrass losses. However, the loss of such a large area of high ecological value habitat is of significant concern, particularly as it signals that seagrass beds in other parts of the region, and New Zealand, are potentially vulnerable to rapid change.

Further Reading

Behrens E, Rickard G, Rosier S, Williams J, Morgenstern O, Stone D. 2022. Projections of Future Marine Heatwaves for the Oceans Around New Zealand Using New Zealand's Earth System Model. Frontiers in Climate: 4:798287. doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.798287 

Davidson RJ. 1990. A report on the ecology of Whanganui Inlet, North-West Nelson. Department of Conservation Occasional Publication No.2, Nelson. 108p. plus appendices. 

Fraser MW, Kendrick GA, Statton J, Hovey RK, Zavala-Perez A, Walker DI. 2014. Extreme climate events lower resilience of foundation seagrass at edge of biogeo-graphical range. J Ecol 102:1528−1536. 

Macara GR. 2016. The Climate and Weather of the Nelson and Tasman District, 2nd Edition. NIWA Science and Technology Series Number 71. ISSN 1173-0382. 38p. 

Matheson F, Dos Santos V, Inglis G, Pilditch C, Reed J, Morrison M, Lundquist C, Van Houte-Howes K, Hailes, S Hewitt J. 2009. New Zealand seagrass - General Information Guide. NIWA Information Series No. 72. 13p. 

Nejrup L, Pedersen M. 2008. Effects of salinity and water temperature on the ecological performance of Zostera marina. Aquatic Botany. 88. 239-246. 10.1016/j.aquabot.2007.10.006. 

Roberts KL, Rabel H, Stevens LM 2021. Te Awarua-o-Porirua Harbour Sediment Plate Monitoring 2020/2021. Salt Ecology Report 061, prepared for Greater Wellington Regional Council, March 2021. 24p. 

Robertson BM, Gillespie P, Asher R, Frisk S, Keeley N, Hopkins G, Thompson S, Tuckey B. 2002a. Estuarine environmental assessment and monitoring: A national protocol part A. Development of the monitoring protocol for New Zealand estuaries. Introduction, rationale and methodology. Sustainable Management Fund Contract No. 5096, Cawthron Institute, Nelson, New Zealand. 93p.

Robertson BM, Gillespie P, Asher R, Frisk S, Keeley N, Hopkins G, Thompson S, Tuckey B. 2002b. Estuarine environmental assessment and monitoring: a national protocol part B: development of the monitoring protocol for New Zealand Estuaries. Appendices to the introduction, rationale and methodology. Sustainable Management Fund Contract No. 5096, Cawthron Institute, Nelson, New Zealand. 159p. 

Robertson BM, Gillespie P, Asher R, Frisk S, Keeley N, Hopkins G, Thompson S, Tuckey B. 2002c. Estuarine environmental assessment and monitoring: a national protocol part C: application of the estuarine monitoring protocol. Sustainable Management Fund Contract No. 5096, Cawthron Institute, Nelson, New Zealand. 40p. 

Robertson BM, Robertson BP. 2017. Whanganui Inlet: Fine Scale Monitoring Data 2017. Report prepared by Wriggle Coastal Management for Tasman District Council. 11p. 

Robertson BM, Stevens LM. 2012. Tasman Coast - Waimea Inlet to Kahurangi Point, habitat mapping, risk assessment and monitoring recommendations. Prepared for Tasman District Council. 167p. 

Robertson BM, Stevens LM. 2016. Whanganui Inlet: Fine Scale Monitoring 2015/16. Report prepared by Wriggle Coastal Management for Tasman District Council. 25p. 

Robertson BM, Stevens LM, Ward N, Robertson BP. 2017. Condition of Southland’s Shallow, Intertidal Dominated Estuaries in Relation to Eutrophication and Sedimentation: Output 1: Data Analysis and Technical Assessment - Habitat Mapping Vulnerability Assessment and Monitoring Recommendations Related to Issues of Eutrophication and Sedimentation. Report prepared by Wriggle Coastal Management for Environment Southland. 172p. 

Sawall Y, Ito M, Pansch C. 2021. Chronically elevated sea surface temperatures revealed high susceptibility of the eelgrass Zostera marina to winter and spring warming. Limnol Oceanogr, 66: 4112-4124. https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.11947 

Stats NZ. 2019. Indicators: Sea-surface temperature. https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators/sea-surface-temperature, updated 17 October 2019. 

Stevens LM, Forrest BM, Dudley BD, Plew DR, Zeldis JR, Shankar U, Haddadchi A, Roberts KL. 2022. Use of a multi-metric macroalgal index to document severe eutrophication in a New Zealand estuary. New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research. doi: 10.1080/00288330.2022.2093226. 

Stevens LM, Forrest BM, Scott-Simmonds T. 2022. Broad Scale Temporal Changes in Seagrass Extent, Whanganui (Westhaven) Inlet, 1948-2021. Salt Ecology Report 101, prepared for Tasman District Council, August 2022. 20p. 

Stevens LM, Robertson BM. 2017. Whanganui Inlet: 2016 Broad Scale Habitat Mapping. Report prepared by Wriggle Coastal Management for Tasman District Council. 34p.

Stevens LM. 2018. Whanganui Inlet : Mapping of Historical Seagrass Extent. Report prepared by Wriggle Coastal Management for Tasman District Council. 10p.

Thomson JA, Burkholder DA, Heithaus MR, Fourqurean JW, Fraser MW, Statton J, Kendrick GA. 2015. Extreme temperatures, foundation species, and abrupt ecosystem change: an example from an iconic seagrass ecosystem. Glob Change Biol 21:1463−1474  

York PH, Gruber RK, Hill R, Ralph PJ, Booth DJ, Macreadie PI. 2013. Physiological and Morphological Responses of the Temperate Seagrass Zostera muelleri to Multiple Stressors: Investigating the Interactive Effects of Light and Temperature. PLoS ONE 8(10): e76377. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0076377

Percentage decrease from a measured baseline used to assess temporal changes in seagrass 

Reduction in seagrass area from 1948-2024.

Raised mounds where seagrass was previously growing (March 2021)

Recently dead seagrass beds (March 2021)

Browning of seagrass fronds indicating plant stress, December 2015

Dead seagrass fronds washed up on a channel margin, December 2015

Change in sediment level compared to 2016 baseline (top) and corresponding sediment mud content (bottom)