URHomeStories Map and Data
Spreading Out Across the United States
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UR HomeGraphs
We contextualized our stories with COVID-19 data in our communities
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a world-wide appreciation for COVID-19 data and graphs.
The graph to the right is very familiar. As of April 22, 2020, the total number of cases keep rising.
If we look at total number of cases, once the peak of infection passes, this line will start to bend until it is nearly horizontal.
When someone talks about flattening the curve, they are talking about the number of active (not total) COVID-19 cases.
The number of active cases is equal to the total number of cases minus the people who have died or recovered.
Let's look at the three URHomeStories' communities with over 5,000 cases. Notice how many cases there can be in a single county.
Westchester NY and Cook IL cases continue to rise, but Wayne MI cases seem to be leveling off.
Interestingly, Cook IL and Wayne MI had very similar trajectories until ~April 5. There are many characteristics about their community or COVID-19 response that could have contributed to this difference.
Here are the other URHomeStories counties. Notice that the values on the vertical axis has changed.
Baltimore MD and Anne Arundel MD have similar trajectories. This makes sense because they were hit with COVID-19 around the same time and adhere to the same government restrictions.
The other counties have relatively few cases. There are many reasons why that could be:
- They are in the earliest stages of infection. Reported cases could grow rapidly in the future.
- These counties are sparsely populated. Cases will not spread as quickly.
- These counties took early preventative measures. Isolation is keeping the number of cases low.
- Very little testing is being done. The real number of COVID-19 cases is much higher.
Finally, let's look at number of deaths per 1,000 COVID-19 cases. We will only look at counties with over 5,000 COVID-19 cases.
Notice that Wayne MI has a large spike ~18 April. When the number of cases are low, the proportion of deaths will fluctuate a lot. For this reason, the counties with fewer cases are not included.
The proportion of deaths is increasing for all three counties. However, this does not mean the virus is getting deadlier.
The exact fatality rate of COVID-19 is unknown, but much smaller then then 90 deaths per 1,000 cases. This data suggests that there are hundreds of thousands of people who have/had COVID-19 which are not accounted for.
Data about your community
COVID-19 data is publicly available; evaluate your county or country's situation yourself. Here are some maps, databases, and relevant articles.
