Know Your Risk
Scroll down to learn more about NWS beach forecasts!
The Forecast
Surf Zone or Recreational Beach Forecasts target forecast wind, weather, and wave/surf conditions for local beaches. These forecasts include elements such as surf height and tides for Coastal beaches, and wave heights for beaches in the Great Lakes. See two example surf zone forecast on the right!
There are two main forecast elements we use to describe the forecasted risk of beach hazards occurring. The first is swim risk. The swim risk is used for beaches that have both waves and a variety of dangerous currents, including rip currents, that could cause a loss of life at the beach. Alternatively, the term rip risk is used at beaches that primarily deal with loss of life from rip currents versus any other current types or hazards.
Regardless of the risk element used, it is critical that you know what the forecast risk level is, and if it is save to enter the water! Explore the High, Moderate, and Low Risk tabs above to learn more.
High Risk Days
These are the days when we urge people to stay out of the water! Respect the power of mother nature and high waves!
High risk days are days when life-threatening conditions are expected to develop at local beaches.
Depending on where you are in the country, forecast offices may issue Beach Hazard Statements, Rip Current Statements, AND/OR High Surf Advisories and Warnings to highlight and draw public attention to these dangerous conditions.
Moderate Risk Days
Never let your guard down! Breaking waves and currents are expected, especially near shoreline structures like piers and breakwalls.
If visiting the beach, consider keeping weak swimmers and children out of the water, and if swimming always wear a life jacket.
Low Risk Days
Low does NOT mean no risk, use caution!
Depending on where beaches are located, there can still be inherent risks nearby that could cause dangerous conditions to develop even on days when the risk is low.
Dangers lurk even on low risk days, including dangerous current near piers, breakwalls and river outlets! After periods of heavy rain, river outlet currents will likely be stronger and more dangerous.
