South Carolina Forest Hotspot Mapping
Identifying economically productive and ecologically valuable forest land in SC to protect from urban expansion.


A partnership between Sustain SC and Furman University's Shi Institute for Sustainable Communities for the Forestry Association of South Carolina
Background
South Carolina is home to an envious extent of natural environments, including vast well-managed forests. These forests our citizens' wellbeing and drive the economy both now and in the future. In fact, the top two industries in the state, forestry and agriculture, are worth approximately $40 billion annually. Additionally, South Carolina’s tourism industry, which is largely driven by its rich natural capital, topped $20 billion in 2016.

One of the largest urban forests in the United States, Hitchcock Woods in Aiken, SC, consists of over 2,100 acres of preserved and maintained forestland for free public enjoyment.
In part because of our state's rich natural resources, population growth within South Carolina has been at an all-time high over the last decade. This population growth is clustered in the 3 major urban centers Greenville/Spartanburg, Columbia, and Charleston and is caused in large part by new industries coming to the state which are driven and supported by our vast and well-managed forest lands.
Given the expected change in land use driven by significant population and economic growth in recent years, it is essential that responsible leaders from different sectors work together to protect our natural resources, including timber, and support our job creators statewide. To that end, South Carolina needs to have systematic data to plan for the future so that the landscapes, ecosystems, and environments that drive the economy and support our citizens flourish today and persist in the future.
However, to provide this support at the parcel, county, and state scales, data synthesis is needed that identifies the relative value of working landscapes managed for forestry as compared to the direct value of residential and industrial development. Although the direct value of residential and industrial development is often used as an argument for land use conversion, the direct and indirect value of well-managed forestry and agriculture (including enhanced water quality, abundant recreation, and pleasing viewsheds) is widely recognized as equally or more valuable to local communities in the near and long-term.
Source: US Forestry Commission
Project Purpose
Forest loss (acres) to development, 2001-2014.
As demand for housing increases in South Carolina, urban areas continue to expand into adjacent forested landscapes. Consequently, urban expansion is the primary driver of deforestation in South Carolina. In most cases, this land-use change reduces the extent of economically productive and ecologically valuable forest land. This loss of economic and ecologically valuable forest land to urban development is a major forestry and conservation concern now and for the future.
With 12.9 million acres of South Carolina’s 21 million acres still forested it is our generation's challenge to look 50-100 years out. Sustain SC and the Forestry Association have partnered to undertake a multiphase feasibility study to assess the data availability and needs to form an analysis determining the optimal balance for forested lands supporting both timber industry sustainability and ecological needs.
How to Use These Maps
Francis Marion National Forest
- Use the + and - signs in the bottom right corner of the map to zoom in and out.
- Click the circle in the bottom left corner of the map to view the legend.
- When there are two maps shown in the same screen, drag the slider line in the middle to compare and contrast between the left and right side maps.
- If the maps appear to be blank, wait a few minutes until the maps finish loading.
South Carolina Forest Hotspot Map:
This map depicts forest hotspots in South Carolina where there is a high level of threat and a high conservation value. Darker green areas represent forested areas that are both most ecologically valuable in terms of ecosystem services and biodiversity and most threatened.
Map Inputs: National Land Cover Database (NLCD); Forest Retention; Forest Landscape Integrity Index (FLII); Projected Urban Growth / SLEUTH Model; Recreation and Viewshed data; Carbon storage by forest type, data from Lucas Clay at Clemson University; Priority areas from SC Forestry Commission Forest Action Plan 2020-2030.
Projected Forest Loss
Projected forest loss (acres) in 2060.
Over one million acres of South Carolina's still-forested areas are expected to be lost by 2060 due to development pressure. Nearly half of this expected forest loss will come from evergreen forests.
Map Inputs
Forest Retention
The forest retention map shows the probability that existing forests will be retained as forest land in 2060. Learn more here .
This map depicts the probability that forests will be retained in 2060. Darker green areas have a high probability of remaining forested area in 2060 while areas in red have a low probability of remaining forested.
Forest Landscape Integrity Index (FLII)
" Forest Landscape Integrity Index integrates data on observed and inferred forest pressures and lost forest connectivity to generate the first globally-consistent, continuous index of forest integrity as determined by degree of anthropogenic modification."
National Land Cover Database (left) and Forest Landscape Integrity Index (right). Darker green on FLII map indicates greater integrity of forest landscapes.
Projected Urban Growth (SLEUTH Model)
This map depicts the extent of urbanization projected for 2060. Learn more here .
National Land Cover Database map (left) and projected urban growth map (right). Darker red areas in the state indicate areas with a high probability of urbanization in 2060.
Recreation and Viewshed
This map depicts average photo user days, which are the number of days per year during which at least one person took at least one picture at a particular site. This helps us better understand where people are recreating in South Carolina.
National Land Cover Database map (left) and photo user days (right). Darker blue colors indicate areas where more pictures are taken during a year.
Forest Retention in the Southeast
National Land Cover Database map (left) and probability that forests will be retained in 2060 (right). Darker green areas have a high probability of remaining forested area in 2060 while areas in red have a low probability of remaining forested.