Coastal Flooding & Economic Resilience in Southern Maine
Assessment for the Towns of Kittery, York, Ogunquit, Kennebunk, Kennebunkport, and Wells
Assessment for the Towns of Kittery, York, Ogunquit, Kennebunk, Kennebunkport, and Wells
The planning study and assessment were funded by the Economic Development Administration.
The information presented in this StoryMap is for general planning purposes only.
Coastal storms and climate change pose significant and growing threats to southern Maine communities where coastal resources drive the local and regional economies. Towns already experience flooding and damage from storms and extreme high tides. Sea level rise and increasingly frequent and severe storm events will exacerbate vulnerabilities, exposing people, properties, businesses, the economy, and natural resources to intensifying natural hazards.
This StoryMap highlights the results of a planning project that:
As sea level rises in the future, normal high tides will be higher and storms, as well as accompanying surge, will be more impactful. This project assessed impacts of storm surge combined with two scenarios of sea level rise to represent what flooding from storm events could look like in the future. The two flooding scenarios, listed below, align with the Maine Climate Council's planning recommendation of committing to manage 1.5 feet of rise by 2050 and preparing to manage 3.0 feet by 2050.
Inundation Scenarios Used for Assessment
Economic resilience is the ability to withstand, and recovery quickly from a shock and the ability to avoid shock altogether. Coastal storms and future climate change threaten to disrupt critical components of local and regional economic activity, especially tourism-based and fisheries activity, which relies on the existence of and access to healthy coastal resources.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs. Studies have shown that coastal hazards and climate change diminish the market value of impacted properties. Municipal fiscal health could be affected by future coastal flooding as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk. Across the six towns, almost $2.6 billion in assessed property value is at risk of flooding from storm surge plus 1.6 feet of sea level rise.
When buildings and infrastructure systems are damaged by flooding and storms, economic losses mount, travel is disrupted, social services are interrupted, and limited municipal resources must be allocated to repairing and rebuilding impacted infrastructure.
Coastal York County's economy is inextricably linked with, driven by, and dependent on its coastline. Coastal storms and sea level rise threaten to disrupt critical components of local and regional economic activity, especially tourism-based and fisheries activities, which rely on the existence of and access to healthy coastal resources.
Individuals who already have increased social vulnerability will be disproportionately affected by sea level rise and climate change as they have lower capacity to prepare for, respond to, and recover from coastal hazard events.
The remaining sections of this StoryMap detail results for each individual town. Click on the town names above to jump to your town of interest. You can also continue scrolling to see each in turn.
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Town Results
Kennebunk's infrastructure and neighborhoods along the open coast and tidal rivers are particularly vulnerable to flooding. In recent years, Town staff have observed an increase in the occurrence and severity of damage to seawalls, road flooding, and debris from wave splash-over, espcially along Beach Avenue. Portions of Lower Village, including the Route 9 bridge, a critical state road and connection between Kennebunk and Kennebunkport, are also vulnerable to existing flooding and future sea level rise and storms.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs. Municipal fiscal health could be affected as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk.
Kennebunk's assessed property value impacted by the two mapped inundation scenarios.
Municipal revenue from beach parking is also at risk from as many parking areas are located in areas vulnerable to flooding. Additionally, as sea level rises, there will be less dry sandy beach available, especially in areas where hardened shoreline structures like seawalls prevent the landward migration of beach systems. Losses in dry beach could reduce beach visitation and subsequent parking revenue.
Municipal revenue generated from parking fees and beach passes for the years 2017 through 2020.
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Kennebunk's local economy is heavily dependent upon the tourism industry. Coastal storms and sea level rise threaten the sandy beaches, seaside infrastructure, and coastal businesses that drive tourism activity, putting the local and regional economy at-risk.
Flooding of coastal roadways disrupts travel, interrupts emergency services, and impacts the lifespan of those roads.
Road crossings and culverts are particular areas of concern for over-topping of roads, and detirorating infrastructure.
Impacts to transportation infrastructure in Kennebunk
Public utility infrastructure located in coastal areas is vulnerable to flooding, which can cause damage and disrupt service. The majority of infrastructure impacts in Kennebunk are associated with sewer system components.
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Individuals who already have increased social vulnerability will be disproportionately affected by sea level rise and climate change as they have lower capacity to prepare for, respond to, and recover from coastal hazard events.
Kennebunkport is known for its sandy beaches, working waterfront area of Cape Porpoise Pier, and small village areas. Bordered to the west by the Kennebunk River, east by the Little River, south by the open coast, and cleaved by the Batson River, Kennebunk is vulnerable to flooding from coastal storms and rising seas.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs. Municipal fiscal health could be affected as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk.
Kennebunkport's assessed property value impacted by the two mapped inundation scenarios.
Municipal revenue from beach parking is also at risk from as many parking areas are located in areas vulnerable to flooding. Additionally, as sea level rises, there will be less dry sandy beach available, especially in areas where hardened shoreline structures like seawalls prevent the landward migration of beach systems. Losses in dry beach could reduce beach visitation and subsequent parking revenue.
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Like most coastal communities in the region, Kennebunkport's local economy is heavily dependent upon the tourism industry. Coastal storms and sea level rise threaten the sandy beaches, seaside infrastructure, and coastal businesses that drive tourism activity, putting the local and regional economy at risk.
Flooding of coastal roadways disrupts travel, interrupts emergency services, and impacts the lifespan of those roads. Beach Avenue and Route 9, Pier Road, and Ocean Avenue are critical routes that are particularly impacted by coastal flooding.
Impacts to Transportation Infrastructure in Kennebunkport
Public utility infrastructure located in coastal areas is vulnerable to flooding, which can cause damage and disrupt access to infrastructure components. The majority of infrastructure impacts in Kennebunk are associated with sewer system components.
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Individuals who already have increased social vulnerability will be disproportionately affected by sea level rise and climate change as they have lower capacity to prepare for, respond to, and recover from coastal hazard events.
Kittery is the southernmost town of the Maine coastline, and is the gateway community for many visitors, tourists, and regular commuters to and from the greater Boston area and beyond.
Currently, most impacts due to storms are farther up the coast, along Fort Foster, Pepperell Cove, and coastal travel routes.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs.
Municipal fiscal health could be affected as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk.
Kittery's assessed property value impacted by the two mapped inundation scenarios.
Municipal revenue from beach parking is also at risk from as many parking areas are located in areas vulnerable to flooding. Additionally, as sea level rises, there will be less dry sandy beach available, especially in areas where hardened shoreline structures like seawalls prevent the landward migration of beach systems. Losses in dry beach could reduce beach visitation and subsequent parking revenue.
Municipal revenue generated from parking fees and beach passes for Fort Foster, 2017 through 2020.
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Several small economic hubs and tourism destinations will be impacted by both scenarios across town.
Flooding of coastal roadways disrupts travel, interrupts emergency services, and impacts the lifespan of those roadways.
Road crossings and culverts are particular areas of concern for over-topping of roads, and detirorating infrastructure.
Impacts to transportation infrastructure in Kittery
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While every community member stands to be impacted by future coastal storm impacts, some individuals are more vulnerable based on their ability to adapt and respond to risk.
Kittery also has the second highest number of households at risk who earn less than the federal poverty level ($25,000) annually. Approximately 5% of households in that income bracket are impacted in the 1.6ft scenario, and that increases to 7% impacted by the 3.0ft scenario.
Kittery has the greatest racial diversity of people who are at risk among the six towns.
With a little over 4 square miles of land and a population of 1,577, Ogunquit is the smallest town in the study region. Although small, it is bustling, and sees a major influx of population throughout the summer months.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs.
Municipal fiscal health could be affected as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk.
Ogunquit's assessed property value impacted by the two mapped inundation scenarios.
Municipal revenue from beach parking is also at risk from as many parking areas are located in areas vulnerable to flooding. Additionally, as sea level rises, there will be less dry sandy beach available, especially in areas where hardened shoreline structures like seawalls prevent the landward migration of beach systems. Losses in dry beach could reduce beach visitation and subsequent parking revenue.
Municipal revenue from parking fees in Ogunquit, for the years 2018 through 2020.
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Several small economic hubs and tourism destinations will be impacted by both scenarios across town.
Flooding of coastal roadways disrupts travel, interrupts emergency services, and impacts the lifespan of those roadways.
There are 2 tidal crossings at risk to the 1.6ft scenario, and 1 additional at risk to the 3.0ft scenario. These are particular areas of concern for over-topping of roads, and detirorating infrastructure.
Transportation infrastructure at risk in Ogunquit
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While every community member stands to be impacted by future coastal storm impacts, some individuals are more vulnerable based on their ability to adapt and respond to risk.
In Wells, Route 1 is separated from the barrier beach by acres of wetlands, much of which is under conservation in the Rachel Carson National Wildlife Refuge, and the Wells Reserve at Laudholm. While development along the beach is at a fairly high elevation, these surrounding lowlands are what pose the most risk from inland flooding.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs.
Municipal fiscal health could be affected as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk.
Wells's assessed property value impacted by the two mapped inundation scenarios.
Municipal revenue from beach parking is also at risk from as many parking areas are located in areas vulnerable to flooding. Additionally, as sea level rises, there will be less dry sandy beach available, especially in areas where hardened shoreline structures like seawalls prevent the landward migration of beach systems. Losses in dry beach could reduce beach visitation and subsequent parking revenue.
Municipal revenue from parking fees in Wells, for the years 2018 through 2020.
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Several small economic hubs and tourism destinations will be impacted by both scenarios across town.
Flooding of coastal roadways disrupts travel, interrupts emergency services, and impacts the lifespan of those roadways.
Transportation infrastructure impacts for Wells.
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While every community member stands to be impacted by future coastal storm impacts, some individuals are more vulnerable based on their ability to adapt and respond to risk.
York is vulnerable to coastal flooding along its sandy beaches, working harbor, low-lying areas of the open coastline, and along the tidal York River. The Long Sands and Short Sands beach areas that are hubs for summer visitors and house a range of businesses that cater to the seasonal tourism industry are particularly at risk of flooding from storm surge and sea level rise.
Municipal budgets are highly dependent on revenue from local property taxes, providing vital funds that sustain community operations, services, and programs. Municipal fiscal health could be affected as coastal properties, which generate a large portion of local tax revenue, are exposed to increasing flood risk.
Municipal revenue from beach parking is also at risk from as many parking areas are located in areas vulnerable to flooding. Additionally, as sea level rises, there will be less dry sandy beach available, especially in areas where hardened shoreline structures like seawalls prevent the landward migration of beach systems. Losses in dry beach could reduce beach visitation and subsequent parking revenue.
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York's local economy is heavily dependent upon the tourism industry. Coastal storms and sea level rise threaten the sandy beaches, seaside infrastructure, and coastal businesses that drive tourism activity, putting the local and regional economy at-risk.
Flooding of coastal roadways disrupts travel, interrupts emergency services, and impacts the lifespan of those roads.
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Individuals who already have increased social vulnerability will be disproportionately affected by sea level rise and climate change as they have lower capacity to prepare for, respond to, and recover from coastal hazard events.
Local action is critical for addressing coastal storm hazards and climate change impacts. While the challenges posed by sea level rise may seem overwhelming, vulnerabilities can be addressed and resilience can be built incrementally through a variety of different options. There are numerous strategies that municipalities and regional entities can employ to enhance economic resilience to coastal storms and sea level rise. Based on the results of the coastal economic vulnerability assessment, SMPDC compiled locally relevant and implementable strategies for southern Maine. Overarching strategies are:
1. Develop financing mechanisms to fund resilience actions
2. Strengthen the resilience of infrastructure, systems, and facilities, especially in vulnerable areas
3. Incorporate coastal storm hazards and climate change into plans and policies
4. Increase preparedness for responding to coastal storm events
5. Direct development away from vulnerable areas and promote resilient development
6. Restore and support natural systems
7. Support the business community to prepare for and increase resilience to coastal storm events and climate change
These strategies and the many potential actions that could be taken to pursue them are described in detail in the Strategies Summary.